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La Liga · Full time ·Matchday 4

Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna

2 – 3 Full time

19′N. Pepe
43′Cruz Luismi
54′R. RodriguezY. Hernandez
62′P. GueyeS. Comesana
62′A. MoleiroT. Buchanan
62′A. PerezG. Mikautadze
66′J. GimenezM. Loureiro
66′M. SorianoM. Casado
66′B. NsongoA. Traore
76′A. Traore
77′G. MorenoT. Oluwaseyi
77′Cruz LuismiZ. Eddahchouri
79′Z. Eddahchouri
81′Santi Comesaña
83′L. CostaI. Akhomach
87′Tajon Buchanan
88′P. Aubameyang
90′Yeremay Hernández
90′Lorenzo Amatucci

Estadio de la Ceramica, VillarrealReferee: Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain

Villarreal 60%
Draw 22%
Deportivo La Coruna 18%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
62 Possession % 38
7 Corners 1
14 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 1
0 Saves 4
577 Accurate passes 329

Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVillarrealDrawDeportivo La Coruna
Model42.6%29.1%28.3%
Market65.8%20.2%14.0%
Final60.0%22.4%17.6%
Edge-23.3%+9.0%+14.3%

Confidence: Medium

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Villarreal ↓ / Deportivo La C → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 14% 7% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 8%

Villarreal and Deportivo La Coruna expected goals

Villarreal 1.52
Deportivo La Coruna 1.27

Total expected goals: 2.80

Villarreal and Deportivo La Coruna attack and defence ratings

Villarreal

Attack 1.27 +27%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Deportivo La Coruna

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 0.75 -25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna: result vs prediction

Villarreal 2 – 3 Deportivo La Coruna

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

La Liga

Before and after this match

Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Villarreal 60.0% 1.67 -23.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.9% 1.82 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.9% 1.67 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.4% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.3% 1.75 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Villarreal60.0%
Draw22.4%
Deportivo La Coruna17.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.9%
Under 2.545.1%
Both teams to scoreYes59.9%
No40.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.4%
12 (either side)77.6%
X2 (draw or away)40.0%
Handicap -1Villarreal win23.1%
Push (exactly one goal)19.7%
Loss57.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.8%
2-19.2%
0-07.9%

Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna stats

Villarreal and Deportivo La Coruna recent form

newest first
Villarreal LDDWLL
Deportivo La Coruna WDDLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Villarreal wins 4Draws 2Deportivo La Coruna wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2018-05-12Deportivo La CorunaVillarrealLa Liga2-4
2018-01-07VillarrealDeportivo La CorunaLa Liga1-1
2017-05-14VillarrealDeportivo La CorunaLa Liga0-0
2017-01-14Deportivo La CorunaVillarrealLa Liga0-0
2016-05-08VillarrealDeportivo La CorunaLa Liga0-2
2016-01-03Deportivo La CorunaVillarrealLa Liga1-2
2015-05-02Deportivo La CorunaVillarrealLa Liga1-1
2014-12-21VillarrealDeportivo La CorunaLa Liga3-0
2011-02-13Deportivo La CorunaVillarrealLa Liga1-0
2010-09-23VillarrealDeportivo La CorunaLa Liga1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 65.1%, draw 20.4%, away 14.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.48 4.20 6.25
1xBet 1.51 4.86 6.70
Bet365 1.45 4.75 7.00
BetVictor 1.44 4.75 7.00
Betano 1.50 4.35 6.40
Betfair 1.44 4.50 7.00
Dafabet 1.48 4.70 6.60
Marathonbet 1.48 4.75 6.55
Pinnacle 1.46 4.90 7.02
SBO 1.42 4.00 5.80
Superbet 1.47 4.70 6.60
Unibet 1.47 4.40 6.50
William Hill 1.44 4.40 6.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.46 ▼ -0.16
X 4.75 ▲ +0.65
2 6.85 ▲ +1.55

13 snapshots recorded, from .