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La Liga · Full time ·Matchday 4

Espanyol vs Sevilla

1 – 1 Full time

2′Giorgi Kochorashvili
14′Álex Calatrava
27′Robbie Ure
40′Miguel Sierra
46′Gabriel Moscardo
54′G. KochorashviliY. Fofana
54′R. UreL. Stassin
56′Arouna Sangante
59′Gabriel MoscardoU. Gonzalez
59′A. CalatravaM. Fernandez Sanchez
60′C. EjukeCastrin
71′M. SierraJ. A. Carmona
71′J. GuridiM. Bueno
75′O. El HilaliB. Zaragoza
85′L. Stassin
86′R. HinojoQ. Hartman
86′U. NunezC. Riedel
90′M. Fernandez Sanchez

RCDE Stadium, CornellaReferee: Miguel Sesma Espinosa, Spain

Espanyol 43%
Draw 30%
Sevilla 28%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 3
56 Possession % 44
0 Corners 4
17 Fouls 13
5 Offsides 2
2 Saves 2
305 Accurate passes 232

Espanyol vs Sevilla overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Espanyol vs Sevilla

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEspanyolDrawSevilla
Model43.4%30.3%26.3%
Market42.2%29.3%28.4%
Final42.5%29.6%27.9%
Edge+1.2%+1.0%-2.1%

Confidence: High

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Espanyol ↓ / Sevilla → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 8% 15% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 9%

Espanyol and Sevilla expected goals

Espanyol 1.44
Sevilla 1.15

Total expected goals: 2.60

Espanyol and Sevilla attack and defence ratings

Espanyol

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Sevilla

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Espanyol vs Sevilla: result vs prediction

Espanyol 1 – 1 Sevilla

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

La Liga

Before and after this match

Espanyol vs Sevilla markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Espanyol 42.5% 2.35 +1.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.1% 2.00 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.8% 1.79 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.1% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.8% 1.76 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Espanyol42.5%
Draw29.6%
Sevilla27.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.9%
Under 2.550.1%
Both teams to scoreYes55.8%
No44.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.1%
12 (either side)70.4%
X2 (draw or away)57.5%
Handicap -1Espanyol win22.8%
Push (exactly one goal)20.4%
Loss56.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.5%
0-09.3%
2-19.2%

Espanyol vs Sevilla stats

Espanyol and Sevilla recent form

newest first
Espanyol LLWDWW
Sevilla LWWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Espanyol vs Sevilla head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Espanyol wins 3Draws 6Sevilla wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-09SevillaEspanyolLa Liga2-1
2025-11-24EspanyolSevillaLa Liga2-1
2025-01-25SevillaEspanyolLa Liga1-1
2024-10-25EspanyolSevillaLa Liga0-2
2023-05-04SevillaEspanyolLa Liga3-2
2022-09-10EspanyolSevillaLa Liga2-3
2022-02-20EspanyolSevillaLa Liga1-1
2021-09-25SevillaEspanyolLa Liga2-0
2020-02-16SevillaEspanyolLa Liga2-2
2019-08-18EspanyolSevillaLa Liga0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Espanyol vs Sevilla odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.6%, draw 30.3%, away 28.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.26 3.05 3.35
1xBet 2.35 3.39 3.39
Bet365 2.25 3.25 3.40
BetVictor 2.25 3.13 3.40
Betano 2.30 3.10 3.40
Betfair 2.20 3.20 3.50
Dafabet 2.33 3.20 3.40
Marathonbet 2.31 3.34 3.34
Pinnacle 2.27 3.33 3.48
SBO 2.28 2.85 2.94
Superbet 2.32 3.15 3.40
Unibet 2.30 3.05 3.35
William Hill 2.30 3.10 3.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.29 ▼ -0.10
X 3.29 ▲ +0.14
2 3.40 ▲ +0.23

15 snapshots recorded, from .