Sevilla
vs
Valencia
1 – 0 Full time
| 24′ | César Tárrega RequeniIker Córdoba | ||
| 27′ | Ryunosuke Sato | ||
| 62′ | Arnau Martínez LópezPablo Maffeo | ||
| 62′ | Ryunosuke SatoHarvey Elliott | ||
| 63′ | Isaac RomeroRobbie Ure | ||
| 63′ | Miguel SierraChidera Ejuke | ||
| 67′ | Chidera Ejuke | ||
| 71′ | Youssouf FofanaGiorgi Kochorashvili | ||
| 81′ | Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez | ||
| 83′ | Javi GuerraHugo Duro | ||
| 83′ | José GayàJesús Vázquez | ||
| 83′ | Lucas StassinJon Guridi | ||
| 83′ | Felix CorreiaJulio Diaz | ||
| 88′ | Pablo Maffeo |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 3 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 0 | Saves | 3 |
| 274 | Accurate passes | 349 |
Sevilla vs Valencia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sevilla vs Valencia
| Probability | Sevilla | Draw | Valencia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.4% | 30.1% | 24.5% |
| Market | 48.8% | 28.7% | 22.6% |
| Final | 47.9% | 29.0% | 23.0% |
| Edge | -3.4% | +1.5% | +1.9% |
Why Sevilla
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 1.10.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sevilla and Valencia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.58
Sevilla and Valencia attack and defence ratings
Sevilla
Valencia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sevilla vs Valencia: result vs prediction
Sevilla 1 – 0 Valencia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- Racing Santander vs Alaves
- Osasuna vs Espanyol — team news & stats
- Athletic Club v Elche — match page
- Real Madrid v Rayo Vallecano — match page
- Celta Vigo vs Malaga — team news & stats
- Levante vs Barcelona — team news & stats
- Getafe v Deportivo La Coruna — match page
- Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Sevilla vs Valencia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sevilla | 47.9% | 2.09 | -3.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sevilla | 47.9% |
| Draw | 29.0% | |
| Valencia | 23.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.9% |
| No | 45.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sevilla win | 24.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 54.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-0 | 9.5% | |
| 2-1 | 9.3% |
Sevilla vs Valencia stats
Sevilla vs Valencia head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Sevilla | Valencia | La Liga | 0-2 |
| 2025-12-07 | Valencia | Sevilla | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-11 | Valencia | Sevilla | La Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-01-11 | Sevilla | Valencia | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2024-02-17 | Valencia | Sevilla | La Liga | 0-0 |
| 2023-08-11 | Sevilla | Valencia | La Liga | 1-2 |
| 2023-04-16 | Valencia | Sevilla | La Liga | 0-2 |
| 2022-10-18 | Sevilla | Valencia | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2022-01-19 | Valencia | Sevilla | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2021-09-22 | Sevilla | Valencia | La Liga | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sevilla vs Valencia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.5%, draw 29.4%, away 25.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.24 | 3.15 | 3.25 |
| 1xBet | 2.03 | 3.40 | 4.37 |
| 888Sport | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.40 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.30 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.80 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.18 | 3.20 | 3.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.00 | 3.34 | 4.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98 | 3.35 | 4.42 |
| SBO | 2.14 | 2.87 | 3.18 |
| Superbet | 2.17 | 3.25 | 3.65 |
| Unibet | 2.14 | 3.25 | 3.55 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| unibet_fr | 1.86 | 3.35 | 4.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
44 snapshots recorded, from .