Valencia
vs
Barcelona
0 – 5 Full time
| 6′ | Lamine Yamal | ||
| 22′ | Fermin | ||
| 29′ | E. GarciaJ. Kounde | ||
| 45′ | Pau Cubarsí | ||
| 47′ | Rodri | ||
| 50′ | Raphinha | ||
| 54′ | PepeluC. Tarrega | ||
| 54′ | J. VazquezJ. Gaya | ||
| 54′ | P. MaffeoH. Elliott | ||
| 62′ | M. DiakhabyI. Cordoba | ||
| 62′ | J. GuerraR. Sato | ||
| 62′ | P. CubarsiA. Christensen | ||
| 62′ | RodriM. Bernal | ||
| 62′ | A. GordonK. Adeyemi | ||
| 65′ | Fermín López | ||
| 75′ | FermínD. Olmo | ||
| 76′ | D. OtorbiH. Duro | ||
| 79′ | Pedri | ||
| 81′ | Arnau Martínez | ||
| 81′ | PedriGabriel Jesus | ||
| 84′ | Lamine Yamal |
Match stats
| 3 | Shots | 25 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 10 |
| 27 | Possession % | 73 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Offsides | 4 |
| 5 | Saves | 2 |
| 205 | Accurate passes | 728 |
Valencia vs Barcelona overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Valencia vs Barcelona
| Probability | Valencia | Draw | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.9% | 28.6% | 40.5% |
| Market | 9.9% | 15.7% | 74.4% |
| Final | 15.1% | 18.9% | 65.9% |
| Edge | +21.0% | +12.8% | -33.8% |
Why Barcelona
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Valencia and Barcelona expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.94
Valencia and Barcelona attack and defence ratings
Valencia
Barcelona
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Valencia vs Barcelona: result vs prediction
Valencia 0 – 5 Barcelona
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Valencia vs Barcelona markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barcelona | 65.9% | 1.52 | -33.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Valencia | 15.1% |
| Draw | 18.9% | |
| Barcelona | 65.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.4% |
| No | 37.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 34.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Barcelona win | 21.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 59.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | |
| 2-1 | 7.7% |
Valencia vs Barcelona stats
Valencia vs Barcelona head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Valencia | Barcelona | La Liga | 3-1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Barcelona | Valencia | La Liga | 6-0 |
| 2025-02-06 | Valencia | Barcelona | Copa del Rey | 0-5 |
| 2025-01-26 | Barcelona | Valencia | La Liga | 7-1 |
| 2024-08-17 | Valencia | Barcelona | La Liga | 1-2 |
| 2024-04-29 | Barcelona | Valencia | La Liga | 4-2 |
| 2023-12-16 | Valencia | Barcelona | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2023-03-05 | Barcelona | Valencia | La Liga | 1-0 |
| 2022-10-29 | Valencia | Barcelona | La Liga | 0-1 |
| 2022-02-20 | Valencia | Barcelona | La Liga | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Valencia vs Barcelona odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 9.8%, draw 16.0%, away 74.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 10.00 | 5.50 | 1.27 |
| 1xBet | 10.00 | 6.30 | 1.32 |
| Bet365 | 9.50 | 6.00 | 1.28 |
| BetVictor | 10.00 | 6.00 | 1.29 |
| Betano | 9.75 | 5.70 | 1.30 |
| Betfair | 10.50 | 6.00 | 1.25 |
| Dafabet | 9.00 | 6.40 | 1.30 |
| Marathonbet | 9.90 | 6.20 | 1.30 |
| Pinnacle | 9.00 | 6.34 | 1.29 |
| SBO | 7.24 | 5.22 | 1.26 |
| Superbet | 8.60 | 6.30 | 1.30 |
| Unibet | 10.00 | 6.25 | 1.26 |
| William Hill | 8.50 | 5.80 | 1.29 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .