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La Liga · Full time ·Matchday 4

Malaga vs Levante

0 – 0 Full time

25′Dani Lorenzo
34′Rafa Garrido
45′Pablo Martínez
59′P. MartinezI. Merino
59′J. CruzJ. Munoz
60′I. RomeroY. Musuayi
67′RafitaC. Puga
67′D. LorenzoR. Enriquez
70′Adrián de la Fuente
77′N. PerezJ. Toljan
77′T. FernandezP. Cortes
77′E. BardeliH. Sotelo
86′C. DotorJ. Cajuste
86′J. A. OlasagastiD. Requena
90′Carlos Puga
90′Aïssa Mandi

La Rosaleda, MalagaReferee: Luis Bestard Servera, Spain

Malaga 40%
Draw 29%
Levante 31%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
63 Possession % 37
6 Corners 4
15 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 0
3 Saves 3
507 Accurate passes 264

Malaga vs Levante overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Malaga vs Levante

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMalagaDrawLevante
Model39.7%28.1%32.2%
Market39.8%29.2%31.0%
Final39.8%28.9%31.3%
Edge-0.1%-1.2%+1.2%

Confidence: Medium

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Malaga ↓ / Levante → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 13% 8% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 7%

Malaga and Levante expected goals

Malaga 1.55
Levante 1.47

Total expected goals: 3.02

Malaga and Levante attack and defence ratings

Malaga

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Levante

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Malaga vs Levante: result vs prediction

Malaga 0 – 0 Levante

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

La Liga

Before and after this match

Malaga vs Levante markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Malaga 39.8% 2.51 -0.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.9% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.1% 1.56 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.1% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.6% 1.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Malaga39.8%
Draw28.9%
Levante31.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.9%
Under 2.540.1%
Both teams to scoreYes64.1%
No35.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.7%
12 (either side)71.1%
X2 (draw or away)60.2%
Handicap -1Malaga win21.1%
Push (exactly one goal)18.3%
Loss60.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.9%
2-18.8%
1-27.9%

Malaga vs Levante stats

Malaga and Levante recent form

newest first
Malaga LDLWDD
Levante WDLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Malaga vs Levante head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Malaga wins 4Draws 4Levante wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-02-08MalagaLevanteSegunda División1-1
2024-11-27LevanteMalagaSegunda División4-2
2023-03-17MalagaLevanteSegunda División0-0
2022-12-04LevanteMalagaSegunda División1-0
2018-04-19LevanteMalagaLa Liga1-0
2017-12-01MalagaLevanteLa Liga0-0
2016-05-02MalagaLevanteLa Liga3-1
2015-12-30LevanteMalagaLa Liga0-1
2015-02-07LevanteMalagaLa Liga4-1
2014-09-13MalagaLevanteLa Liga0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Malaga vs Levante odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.1%, draw 29.2%, away 31.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.50 3.20 2.78
1xBet 2.49 3.38 3.15
Bet365 2.38 3.25 3.00
BetVictor 2.38 3.25 3.10
Betano 2.45 3.25 3.00
Betfair 2.40 3.30 3.10
Dafabet 2.46 3.30 3.00
Marathonbet 2.45 3.32 3.10
Pinnacle 2.43 3.37 3.14
SBO 2.26 3.10 2.74
Superbet 2.47 3.30 3.00
Unibet 2.30 3.25 3.15
William Hill 2.40 3.10 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.42 ▲ +0.27
X 3.29 ▲ +0.04
2 3.10 ▼ -0.35

15 snapshots recorded, from .