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La Liga · Full time ·Matchday 5

Levante vs Barcelona

2 – 4 Full time

5′Xavi Espart
19′Lamine Yamal
45′Gerard Martín
45′Hugo Sotelo
45′Gerard MartínAndreas Christensen
48′Lamine Yamal
59′Petar RatkovIván Romero
59′Jon Ander OlasagastiEnzo Bardeli
60′Hugo SoteloOriol Rey
66′Lamine YamalDaniel Olmo Carvajal
66′PedriMarc Bernal
67′Anthony GordonKarim Adeyemi
71′Manu SánchezNacho Pérez Gómez
71′Adrián de la Fuente BarquillaIfeanyi Ndukwe
79′Iván Romero
80′Xavi EspartJoão Cancelo
88′Roger Brugué
90′Karim Adeyemi

Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, ValenciaReferee: Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban, Spain

Levante 11%
Draw 15%
Barcelona 74%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 6
25 Possession % 75
3 Corners 5
11 Fouls 11
4 Offsides 2
2 Saves 4
171 Accurate passes 711

Levante vs Barcelona overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Levante vs Barcelona

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLevanteDrawBarcelona
Model26.3%23.5%50.2%
Market6.4%11.6%82.0%
Final11.4%14.5%74.1%
Edge+19.9%+11.9%-31.9%

Confidence: High

Why Barcelona

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.21 vs 1.52.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Levante ↓ / Barcelona → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 9% 9% 6% 6% 2 6% 7% 5% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 4%

Levante and Barcelona expected goals

Levante 1.52
Barcelona 2.21

Total expected goals: 3.74

Levante and Barcelona attack and defence ratings

Levante

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Barcelona

Attack 1.85 +85%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Levante vs Barcelona: result vs prediction

Levante 2 – 4 Barcelona

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

La Liga

Before and after this match

Levante vs Barcelona markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Barcelona 74.1% 1.35 -31.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.3% 1.36 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.6% 1.38 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 88.6% 1.13 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.8% 2.01 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Levante11.4%
Draw14.5%
Barcelona74.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.3%
Under 2.526.7%
Both teams to scoreYes72.6%
No27.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)25.9%
12 (either side)85.5%
X2 (draw or away)88.6%
Handicap -1Barcelona win31.3%
Push (exactly one goal)18.9%
Loss49.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.4%
1-28.7%
2-26.9%

Levante vs Barcelona stats

Levante and Barcelona recent form

newest first
Levante DWDLLW
Barcelona WWWWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Levante vs Barcelona head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Levante wins 1Draws 8Barcelona wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-22BarcelonaLevanteLa Liga3-0
2025-08-23LevanteBarcelonaLa Liga2-3
2022-04-10LevanteBarcelonaLa Liga2-3
2021-09-26BarcelonaLevanteLa Liga3-0
2021-05-11LevanteBarcelonaLa Liga3-3
2020-12-13BarcelonaLevanteLa Liga1-0
2020-02-02BarcelonaLevanteLa Liga2-1
2019-11-02LevanteBarcelonaLa Liga3-1
2019-04-27BarcelonaLevanteLa Liga1-0
2019-01-17BarcelonaLevanteCopa del Rey3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Levante vs Barcelona odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 7.0%, draw 12.5%, away 80.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 13.50 6.75 1.18
1xBet 17.00 8.50 1.19
Bet365 13.00 7.50 1.18
BetVictor 15.00 8.50 1.15
Betano 14.00 8.25 1.20
Betfair 17.00 9.00 1.14
Dafabet 11.00 7.60 1.21
Marathonbet 16.75 8.30 1.17
Pinnacle 15.55 9.02 1.16
SBO 10.60 6.95 1.13
Unibet 9.00 7.00 1.23
William Hill 13.00 7.50 1.17
codere_it 7.60 4.80 1.41

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 15.00 ▲ +7.40
X 8.30 ▲ +3.50
2 1.17 ▼ -0.24

28 snapshots recorded, from .