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La Liga · Full time ·Matchday 5

Osasuna vs Espanyol

0 – 2 Full time

3′Roberto Fernández Jaén
17′Roberto Fernández Jaén
30′Enrique Barja Alfonso
39′Jon Moncayola
40′Clemens Riedel
45′Omar El Hilali
45′Diego RicoAbel Bretones
59′Íñigo ArguibideAsier Osambela
60′Rubén GarcíaRaul Moro
60′Enrique Barja AlfonsoJonathan Dubasin
66′Marcos FernándezGabriel Moscardo
66′Tyrhys DolanÁlex Calatrava Torrado
71′Raul GarcíaRomain Del Castillo
80′Roberto Fernández JaénPere Milla
80′Francisco Javier Hernandez CoarasaBryan Zaragoza
89′Eduardo Expósito JaénVanja Drkusic

Estadio El Sadar, PamplonaReferee: Luis Bestard Servera, Spain

Osasuna 48%
Draw 28%
Espanyol 24%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 3
61 Possession % 39
3 Corners 4
10 Fouls 24
1 Saves 4
413 Accurate passes 253

Osasuna vs Espanyol overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Osasuna vs Espanyol

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOsasunaDrawEspanyol
Model60.6%24.5%15.0%
Market43.7%29.4%26.9%
Final47.9%28.2%23.9%
Edge+16.9%-5.0%-11.9%

Confidence: High

Why Osasuna

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.96.
  • The market prices Osasuna below the model: +16.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Osasuna ↓ / Espanyol → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 8% 12% 2 10% 10% 3 7% 7% 4+ 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 7%

Osasuna and Espanyol expected goals

Osasuna 1.96
Espanyol 0.96

Total expected goals: 2.92

Osasuna and Espanyol attack and defence ratings

Osasuna

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Espanyol

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Osasuna vs Espanyol: result vs prediction

Osasuna 0 – 2 Espanyol

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

La Liga

Before and after this match

Osasuna vs Espanyol markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Osasuna 47.9% 2.09 +16.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.1% 1.72 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.9% 1.79 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.1% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 39.4% 2.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Osasuna47.9%
Draw28.2%
Espanyol23.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.1%
Under 2.541.9%
Both teams to scoreYes55.9%
No44.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.1%
12 (either side)71.8%
X2 (draw or away)52.1%
Handicap -1Osasuna win38.7%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss39.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.6%
2-010.3%
2-19.9%

Osasuna vs Espanyol stats

Osasuna and Espanyol recent form

newest first
Osasuna LWWDLL
Espanyol DLLWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Osasuna vs Espanyol head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Osasuna wins 4Draws 2Espanyol wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-17OsasunaEspanyolLa Liga1-2
2025-08-31EspanyolOsasunaLa Liga1-0
2025-05-18OsasunaEspanyolLa Liga2-0
2024-12-14EspanyolOsasunaLa Liga0-0
2023-02-04EspanyolOsasunaLa Liga1-1
2022-10-20OsasunaEspanyolLa Liga1-0
2022-05-08EspanyolOsasunaLa Liga1-1
2021-08-14OsasunaEspanyolLa Liga0-0
2021-01-17EspanyolOsasunaCopa del Rey0-2
2020-03-08OsasunaEspanyolLa Liga1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Osasuna vs Espanyol odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.4%, draw 29.1%, away 26.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.90 3.30 4.10
1xBet 2.23 3.33 3.76
Bet365 2.15 3.20 3.60
BetVictor 2.15 3.30 3.50
Betano 2.20 3.25 3.50
Betfair 2.20 3.20 3.60
Dafabet 2.07 3.40 3.85
Marathonbet 2.19 3.28 3.70
Pinnacle 2.23 3.29 3.56
SBO 2.15 2.94 3.07
Unibet 1.93 3.40 4.00
William Hill 2.15 3.10 3.50
winamax_de 2.25 3.20 3.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.19 ▲ +0.35
X 3.25 ▼ -0.20
2 3.56 ▼ -0.44

45 snapshots recorded, from .