Celta Vigo
vs
Malaga
1 – 1 Full time
| 24′ | Einar Galilea | ||
| 26′ | Yoel Lago | ||
| 41′ | Ferran Jutglà | ||
| 45′ | Einar GalileaRamón Enríquez | ||
| 61′ | Joaquín MuñozJuan Cruz | ||
| 62′ | Hugo GonzálezWilliot Swedberg | ||
| 67′ | Dani LorenzoCarlos Puga | ||
| 67′ | Izan MerinoAdrian Nino | ||
| 74′ | Ilaix MoribaHugo Burcio | ||
| 74′ | Hugo Alvarez AntunezCouhaib Driouech | ||
| 83′ | Adrian Nino | ||
| 84′ | Javier Rueda GarcíaJavi Galán | ||
| 84′ | Ferran JutglàIago Aspas | ||
| 87′ | José SalinasJuan Berrocal |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 6 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 419 | Accurate passes | 495 |
Celta Vigo vs Malaga overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Celta Vigo vs Malaga
| Probability | Celta Vigo | Draw | Malaga |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.0% | 32.5% | 32.5% |
| Market | 55.8% | 25.9% | 18.3% |
| Final | 50.6% | 27.6% | 21.8% |
| Edge | -20.8% | +6.6% | +14.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Celta Vigo and Malaga expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.39
Celta Vigo and Malaga attack and defence ratings
Celta Vigo
Malaga
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Celta Vigo vs Malaga: result vs prediction
Celta Vigo 1 – 1 Malaga
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Celta Vigo vs Malaga markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celta Vigo | 50.6% | 1.98 | -20.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celta Vigo | 50.6% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Malaga | 21.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.4% |
| No | 47.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Celta Vigo win | 16.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 65.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 15.5% |
| 0-0 | 11.2% | |
| 1-0 | 8.2% |
Celta Vigo vs Malaga stats
Celta Vigo and Malaga recent form
| Celta Vigo |
DDLLDW |
| Malaga |
DLDLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Celta Vigo and Malaga going into this match
Celta Vigo record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Celta Vigo vs Malaga head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-03-18 | Celta Vigo | Malaga | La Liga | 0-0 |
| 2017-10-29 | Malaga | Celta Vigo | La Liga | 2-1 |
| 2017-05-07 | Malaga | Celta Vigo | La Liga | 3-0 |
| 2017-01-08 | Celta Vigo | Malaga | La Liga | 3-1 |
| 2016-05-08 | Celta Vigo | Malaga | La Liga | 1-0 |
| 2016-01-02 | Malaga | Celta Vigo | La Liga | 2-0 |
| 2015-04-29 | Celta Vigo | Malaga | La Liga | 1-0 |
| 2014-12-13 | Malaga | Celta Vigo | La Liga | 1-0 |
| 2014-03-21 | Celta Vigo | Malaga | La Liga | 0-2 |
| 2013-10-26 | Malaga | Celta Vigo | La Liga | 0-5 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Celta Vigo vs Malaga odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.6%, draw 26.0%, away 18.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.73 | 3.55 | 4.70 |
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 3.76 | 5.33 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.70 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.70 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 3.60 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.73 | 3.70 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.75 | 3.70 | 5.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 3.74 | 5.43 |
| SBO | 1.69 | 3.26 | 4.37 |
| Unibet | 1.76 | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| onexbet | 1.75 | 3.78 | 5.59 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
28 snapshots recorded, from .