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UEFA Europa League · Full time ·League Stage - 1

Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo

1 – 0 Full time

56′F. JutglaH. Gonzalez
56′C. DriouechW. Swedberg
63′M. TankovicL. Brouwers
68′W. Swedberg
72′H. BurcioA. Febas
72′P. DuranH. Alvarez
75′S. CoulibalyA. Kakoullis
77′A. NunezB. Iglesias
88′J. Balkovec
90′Costa EwandroF. Tanase
90′J. MontnorM. Mayambela

GSP Stadium, NicosiaReferee: B. Berke

Omonia Nicosia 34%
Draw 25%
Celta Vigo 41%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 5
46 Possession % 54
3 Corners 10
4 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 2
4 Saves 4
420 Accurate passes 503

Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOmonia NicosiaDrawCelta Vigo
Model71.9%19.6%8.5%
Market20.8%27.4%51.8%
Final33.6%25.4%41.0%
Edge+51.1%-7.8%-43.3%

Confidence: Medium

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Omonia Nicosia ↓ / Celta Vigo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 13% 9% 2 15% 9% 3 10% 4+ 9%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 7%

Omonia Nicosia and Celta Vigo expected goals

Omonia Nicosia 2.14
Celta Vigo 0.62

Total expected goals: 2.76

Omonia Nicosia and Celta Vigo attack and defence ratings

Omonia Nicosia

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 0.64 -36%

Celta Vigo

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo: result vs prediction

Omonia Nicosia 1 – 0 Celta Vigo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League Stage - 1 fixtures

UEFA Europa League

Before and after this match

Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Celta Vigo 41.0% 2.44 -43.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.1% 1.92 — —
Both teams to score No 58.6% 1.71 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.6% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 91.5% 1.09 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Omonia Nicosia33.6%
Draw25.4%
Celta Vigo41.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.1%
Under 2.547.9%
Both teams to scoreYes41.4%
No58.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.0%
12 (either side)74.6%
X2 (draw or away)66.4%
Handicap -1Celta Vigo win2.2%
Push (exactly one goal)6.3%
Loss91.5%
Correct score (top 3)2-014.5%
1-012.7%
3-010.4%

Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo stats

Omonia Nicosia and Celta Vigo recent form

newest first
Omonia Nicosia DWDWLW
Celta Vigo DDDLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 21.9%, draw 27.1%, away 51.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 4.10 3.50 1.85
1xBet 4.66 3.56 1.86
888Sport 4.00 3.30 1.91
Bet365 4.33 3.50 1.85
BetVictor 4.40 3.50 1.80
Betano 4.65 3.65 1.87
Betfair 4.60 3.40 1.83
Dafabet 4.10 3.45 1.93
Marathonbet 4.60 3.52 1.84
Pinnacle 4.66 3.51 1.87
SBO 3.30 2.98 1.96
Unibet 4.00 3.50 1.92
William Hill 4.20 3.30 1.85

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.60 ▲ +0.50
X 3.50 ▲ +0.09
2 1.85 ▼ -0.06

14 snapshots recorded, from .