Anderlecht
vs
Lyon
1 – 2 Full time
| 8′ | N. Nartey | ||
| 22′ | K. Nakamura | ||
| 26′ | Moussa Niakhaté | ||
| 44′ | Mohamed Ouédraogo | ||
| 46′ | R. AmaneM. Kana | ||
| 46′ | M. OuedraogoN. Tagliafico | ||
| 46′ | M. NiakhateF. Bacher | ||
| 61′ | M. Cvetkovic | ||
| 65′ | L. OpendaP. Sulc | ||
| 74′ | T. AasgaardT. Bentayeb | ||
| 74′ | L. AmbrosD. Sikan | ||
| 74′ | T. MortonC. Tolisso | ||
| 74′ | N. NarteyM. Bidstrup | ||
| 85′ | M. CvetkovicO. Antman | ||
| 90′ | L. AugustinssonN. Ojea |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 10 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Offsides | 5 |
| 8 | Saves | 3 |
| 398 | Accurate passes | 274 |
Anderlecht vs Lyon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Anderlecht vs Lyon
| Probability | Anderlecht | Draw | Lyon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.6% | 27.9% | 21.5% |
| Market | 32.4% | 26.8% | 40.8% |
| Final | 36.9% | 27.1% | 36.0% |
| Edge | +18.2% | +1.1% | -19.3% |
Why Anderlecht
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.94.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Anderlecht below the model: +18.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Anderlecht and Lyon expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.49
Anderlecht and Lyon attack and defence ratings
Anderlecht
Lyon
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Anderlecht vs Lyon: result vs prediction
Anderlecht 1 – 2 Lyon
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League Stage - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Anderlecht vs Lyon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Anderlecht | 36.9% | 2.71 | +18.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.6% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Anderlecht | 36.9% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Lyon | 36.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.2% |
| No | 50.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Anderlecht win | 26.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 49.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.7% | |
| 2-0 | 10.0% |
Anderlecht vs Lyon stats
Anderlecht and Lyon recent form
| Anderlecht |
WDWLWW |
| Lyon |
DWDLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Anderlecht and Lyon going into this match
Anderlecht record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Anderlecht vs Lyon head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-16 | Anderlecht | Lyon | Friendlies Clubs | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Anderlecht vs Lyon odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.9%, draw 26.5%, away 41.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.50 | 3.65 | 1.96 |
| 1xBet | 2.99 | 3.65 | 2.36 |
| 888Sport | 3.40 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.45 | 2.35 |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 3.50 | 3.65 | 2.03 |
| Marathonbet | 2.99 | 3.65 | 2.36 |
| Pinnacle | 2.99 | 3.59 | 2.38 |
| SBO | 2.89 | 3.18 | 2.04 |
| Unibet | 3.50 | 3.80 | 1.97 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .