Lyon
vs
Rennes
4 – 0 Full time
| 2′ | Moussa Niakhaté | ||
| 7′ | Ernest Nuamah | ||
| 16′ | Quentin Merlin | ||
| 30′ | Ernest Nuamah | ||
| 48′ | Zachary Athekame | ||
| 60′ | Pavel Šulc | ||
| 61′ | Boulaye DiaEsteban Lepaul | ||
| 61′ | Arnaud NordinMousa Al-Tamari | ||
| 62′ | Eliezer MayendaLudovic Blas | ||
| 64′ | Pavel ŠulcKhalis Merah | ||
| 73′ | Ernest NuamahKail Boudache | ||
| 73′ | Quentin MerlinMahamadou Nagida | ||
| 73′ | Przemysław FrankowskiBryan Reynolds | ||
| 76′ | Corentin Tolisso | ||
| 79′ | Mads BidstrupTanner Tessmann | ||
| 79′ | Tyler MortonNoah Teye Nartey | ||
| 79′ | Loïs OpendaKeito Nakamura | ||
| 81′ | Valentin Rongier | ||
| 86′ | Zachary Athekame | ||
| 90′ | Noah Teye Nartey |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 45 | Possession % | 55 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 5 |
| 346 | Accurate passes | 411 |
Lyon vs Rennes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lyon vs Rennes
| Probability | Lyon | Draw | Rennes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.1% | 22.9% | 29.0% |
| Market | 44.6% | 25.2% | 30.2% |
| Final | 45.5% | 24.6% | 29.9% |
| Edge | +3.5% | -2.4% | -1.2% |
Why Lyon
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.43.
- The market prices Lyon below the model: +3.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lyon and Rennes expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.41
Lyon and Rennes attack and defence ratings
Lyon
Rennes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lyon vs Rennes: result vs prediction
Lyon 4 – 0 Rennes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lyon vs Rennes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lyon | 45.5% | 2.20 | +3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.3% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lyon | 45.5% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Rennes | 29.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.7% |
| No | 35.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lyon win | 27.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 51.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-2 | 7.0% |
Lyon vs Rennes stats
Lyon vs Rennes head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Lyon | Rennes | Ligue 1 | 4-2 |
| 2025-09-14 | Rennes | Lyon | Ligue 1 | 3-1 |
| 2025-04-26 | Lyon | Rennes | Ligue 1 | 4-1 |
| 2024-08-18 | Rennes | Lyon | Ligue 1 | 3-0 |
| 2024-01-26 | Lyon | Rennes | Ligue 1 | 2-3 |
| 2023-11-12 | Rennes | Lyon | Ligue 1 | 0-1 |
| 2023-04-09 | Lyon | Rennes | Ligue 1 | 3-1 |
| 2022-10-16 | Rennes | Lyon | Ligue 1 | 3-2 |
| 2022-03-13 | Lyon | Rennes | Ligue 1 | 2-4 |
| 2021-11-07 | Rennes | Lyon | Ligue 1 | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lyon vs Rennes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.9%, draw 25.3%, away 29.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.19 | 3.86 | 3.34 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.70 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.80 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.75 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.75 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.13 | 3.76 | 3.25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21 | 3.82 | 3.19 |
| SBO | 2.11 | 3.33 | 2.80 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| coolbet | 2.00 | 4.00 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
27 snapshots recorded, from .