Garuda Lions
Today
Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 5

Monaco vs Lens

2 – 1 Full time

32′Paris Brunner
45′Jean-Clair TodiboJonathan Gradit
53′Florian Thauvin
57′Matthieu Udol
58′Mezian Soares MesloubThorgan Hazard
58′Abdallah SimaOdsonne Édouard
62′Edan DiopMathys Detourbet
69′Junior KadileMichał Skóraś
71′Lamine Camara
72′Amadou HaidaraAndrija Bulatović
76′Matthis AblineFolarin Balogun
76′Denis ZakariaPape Cabral
84′Jonathan Gradit
90′Paris BrunnerMohammed Salisu

Stade Louis II, MonacoReferee: Clement Turpin

Monaco 44%
Draw 25%
Lens 32%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
52 Possession % 48
2 Corners 8
13 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 1
3 Saves 5
464 Accurate passes 455

Monaco vs Lens overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Monaco vs Lens

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMonacoDrawLens
Model33.2%21.0%45.8%
Market47.6%25.7%26.8%
Final44.0%24.5%31.5%
Edge-14.3%-4.7%+19.0%

Confidence: High

Why Monaco

  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Monaco ↓ / Lens → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 4% 1 8% 8% 6% 5% 2 7% 7% 5% 4% 3 4% 4% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 75%
No goals 2%

Monaco and Lens expected goals

Monaco 1.90
Lens 2.13

Total expected goals: 4.03

Monaco and Lens attack and defence ratings

Monaco

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Lens

Attack 1.65 +65%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Monaco vs Lens: result vs prediction

Monaco 2 – 1 Lens

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Ligue 1

Before and after this match

Monaco vs Lens markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Monaco 44.0% 2.27 -14.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 75.3% 1.33 — —
Both teams to score Yes 73.9% 1.35 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.5% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.8% 1.50 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Monaco44.0%
Draw24.5%
Lens31.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.575.3%
Under 2.524.7%
Both teams to scoreYes73.9%
No26.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.5%
12 (either side)75.5%
X2 (draw or away)56.0%
Handicap -1Monaco win17.1%
Push (exactly one goal)16.2%
Loss66.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-28.0%
1-17.7%
2-27.2%

Monaco vs Lens stats

Monaco and Lens recent form

newest first
Monaco DWWWWW
Lens DWLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Monaco vs Lens head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Monaco wins 3Draws 4Lens wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-21LensMonacoLigue 12-3
2025-11-08MonacoLensLigue 11-4
2025-05-17LensMonacoLigue 14-0
2024-09-01MonacoLensLigue 11-1
2024-02-25LensMonacoLigue 12-3
2024-01-07LensMonacoCoupe de France2-2
2023-09-02MonacoLensLigue 13-0
2023-04-22LensMonacoLigue 13-0
2022-08-20MonacoLensLigue 11-4
2022-05-21LensMonacoLigue 12-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Monaco vs Lens odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.3%, draw 25.7%, away 27.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.05 3.78 3.80
Bet365 2.05 3.70 3.40
BetVictor 1.95 3.80 3.50
Betano 2.02 3.90 3.65
Betfair 2.00 3.60 3.70
Marathonbet 2.02 3.74 3.72
Pinnacle 2.05 3.82 3.59
SBO 1.97 3.55 3.35
William Hill 1.95 3.40 3.40
winamax_fr 2.10 3.40 2.55

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.02 ▼ -0.08
X 3.74 ▲ +0.34
2 3.59 ▲ +1.04

25 snapshots recorded, from .