Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 4

Strasbourg vs Monaco

1 – 1 Full time

22′Anis SoubeirMatthis Abline
45′Diogo SousaDario Essugo
52′Sadibou Sane
69′Jacobo OrtegaConrad Harder
71′Paris Brunner
72′Stanis IdumboMathys Detourbet
78′Pape Demba Diop
81′Giovanni ReynaSamir El-Mourabet
82′Sebastian NanasiSamuel Amo-Ameyaw
90′Aleksandr Golovin
90′Gessime YassineAbdoul Karim Coulibaly

Stade de la Meinau, StrasbourgReferee: Eric Wattellier

Strasbourg 31%
Draw 24%
Monaco 45%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 3
44 Possession % 56
2 Corners 7
9 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 3
2 Saves 2
370 Accurate passes 510

Strasbourg vs Monaco overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Strasbourg vs Monaco

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStrasbourgDrawMonaco
Model33.1%21.7%45.1%
Market29.7%25.4%44.9%
Final30.6%24.5%44.9%
Edge+3.4%-3.6%+0.2%

Confidence: High

Why Monaco

  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Strasbourg ↓ / Monaco → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 5% 1 9% 8% 6% 4% 2 7% 7% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 72%
No goals 3%

Strasbourg and Monaco expected goals

Strasbourg 1.80
Monaco 2.01

Total expected goals: 3.81

Strasbourg and Monaco attack and defence ratings

Strasbourg

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Monaco

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Strasbourg vs Monaco: result vs prediction

Strasbourg 1 – 1 Monaco

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Ligue 1

Before and after this match

Strasbourg vs Monaco markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Monaco 44.9% 2.22 +0.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71.8% 1.39 — —
Both teams to score Yes 71.1% 1.41 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.5% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.9% 1.82 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Strasbourg30.6%
Draw24.5%
Monaco44.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571.8%
Under 2.528.2%
Both teams to scoreYes71.1%
No28.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)55.1%
12 (either side)75.5%
X2 (draw or away)69.4%
Handicap -1Monaco win25.6%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss54.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.5%
1-28.4%
2-27.2%

Strasbourg vs Monaco stats

Strasbourg and Monaco recent form

newest first
Strasbourg WWLWWD
Monaco WWWWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Strasbourg vs Monaco head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Strasbourg wins 1Draws 6Monaco wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-17StrasbourgMonacoLigue 15-4
2026-02-05StrasbourgMonacoCoupe de France3-1
2025-08-31MonacoStrasbourgLigue 13-2
2025-04-19MonacoStrasbourgLigue 10-0
2024-11-09StrasbourgMonacoLigue 11-3
2024-03-10StrasbourgMonacoLigue 10-1
2023-08-20MonacoStrasbourgLigue 13-0
2023-04-02MonacoStrasbourgLigue 14-3
2022-08-06StrasbourgMonacoLigue 11-2
2022-03-13StrasbourgMonacoLigue 11-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Strasbourg vs Monaco odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.1%, draw 25.3%, away 44.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.95 3.75 2.16
1xBet 3.32 3.90 2.19
Bet365 3.20 3.75 2.10
BetVictor 3.13 3.80 2.10
Betano 3.20 3.70 2.15
Betfair 3.25 3.75 2.10
Dafabet 3.10 3.80 2.16
Marathonbet 3.26 3.84 2.15
Pinnacle 3.26 3.86 2.14
SBO 2.91 3.38 2.12
Unibet 3.15 3.70 2.07
William Hill 3.00 3.50 2.10
betclic_fr 2.98 3.63 2.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.20 ▲ +0.23
X 3.75 ▲ +0.05
2 2.12 ▲ +0.10

27 snapshots recorded, from .