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Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 4

Le Mans vs Lens

2 – 2 Full time

15′Noa Boissé
20′Michaël Cuisance
28′Jean Vercruysse
32′Adil Bourabaa
38′Andrija Bulatović
44′Lucas Calodat
45′Abdallah Sima
45′Michaël CuisanceAmadou Haidara
45′Noa BoisséDjibril Sidibé
45′Odsonne ÉdouardFranjo Ivanovic
45′Michał SkóraśMezian Soares Mesloub
51′Franjo Ivanovic
53′Florian Thauvin
55′Jonathan GraditJean-Clair Todibo
65′Lucas BretelleAlexandre Lauray
65′Jean VercruysseDaouda Traore
65′Dame GueyeHabib Diallo
76′Abdallah SimaThorgan Hazard
77′Samuel YohouRaul Torrente Navarro

MMArena, Le MansReferee: Hakim Ben el Hadj

Le Mans 24%
Draw 23%
Lens 53%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 6
53 Possession % 47
3 Corners 9
17 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 3
4 Saves 3
409 Accurate passes 363

Le Mans vs Lens overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Le Mans vs Lens

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLe MansDrawLens
Model36.6%22.2%41.2%
Market19.9%22.6%57.5%
Final24.1%22.5%53.4%
Edge+16.7%-0.4%-16.2%

Confidence: Medium

Why Lens

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Le Mans ↓ / Lens → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 5% 1 9% 8% 5% 2 8% 7% 4% 3 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 3%

Le Mans and Lens expected goals

Le Mans 1.86
Lens 1.88

Total expected goals: 3.74

Le Mans and Lens attack and defence ratings

Le Mans

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Lens

Attack 1.68 +68%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Le Mans vs Lens: result vs prediction

Le Mans 2 – 2 Lens

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Ligue 1

Before and after this match

Le Mans vs Lens markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Lens 53.4% 1.87 -16.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.5% 1.42 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.4% 1.42 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.5% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.9% 1.70 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Le Mans24.1%
Draw22.5%
Lens53.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.5%
Under 2.529.5%
Both teams to scoreYes70.4%
No29.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)46.6%
12 (either side)77.5%
X2 (draw or away)75.9%
Handicap -1Lens win22.3%
Push (exactly one goal)18.8%
Loss58.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.9%
1-28.2%
2-17.7%

Le Mans vs Lens stats

Le Mans and Lens recent form

newest first
Le Mans DLDWDD
Lens WLLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Le Mans vs Lens head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Le Mans wins 1Draws 2Lens wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2019-07-27Le MansLensLigue 21-2
2013-05-24Le MansLensLigue 22-1
2012-07-28LensLe MansLigue 22-2
2012-04-06LensLe MansLigue 21-3
2011-11-26Le MansLensLigue 20-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Le Mans vs Lens odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 19.4%, draw 23.1%, away 57.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 5.00 3.90 1.63
1xBet 4.97 4.32 1.72
Bet365 4.75 4.10 1.67
BetVictor 4.75 4.10 1.65
Betano 4.90 4.30 1.70
Betfair 5.50 4.33 1.57
Dafabet 4.90 4.10 1.66
Marathonbet 4.90 4.25 1.69
Pinnacle 4.82 4.24 1.68
SBO 4.22 3.61 1.63
Unibet 4.90 3.95 1.63
William Hill 4.60 3.90 1.65
winamax_de 4.80 4.20 1.54

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.82 ▲ +0.22
X 4.24 ▲ +0.14
2 1.67 ▲ +0.11

29 snapshots recorded, from .