Rennes
vs
Marseille
1 – 0 Full time
| 33′ | Himad Abdelli | ||
| 43′ | Przemysław Frankowski | ||
| 43′ | Igor Paixão | ||
| 45′ | Issa SoumaréMousa Al-Tamari | ||
| 52′ | Adrien Thomasson | ||
| 65′ | Angel GomesKeyliane Abdallah | ||
| 68′ | Przemysław FrankowskiBryan Reynolds | ||
| 78′ | Esteban LepaulBoulaye Dia | ||
| 78′ | Ludovic BlasSebastian Szymański | ||
| 78′ | Himad AbdelliNeal Maupay | ||
| 85′ | Amine Harit | ||
| 86′ | Mousa Al-TamariEliezer Mayenda | ||
| 88′ | Igor PaixãoFaris Moumbagna | ||
| 88′ | Amine GouiriTadjidine Mmadi | ||
| 88′ | Nayef AguerdDerek Cornelius | ||
| 90′ | Timothy Weah |
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 5 | Saves | 6 |
| 417 | Accurate passes | 440 |
Rennes vs Marseille overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rennes vs Marseille
| Probability | Rennes | Draw | Marseille |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.7% | 20.2% | 38.2% |
| Market | 47.6% | 23.9% | 28.5% |
| Final | 46.1% | 23.0% | 30.9% |
| Edge | -5.9% | -3.7% | +9.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rennes and Marseille expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.43
Rennes and Marseille attack and defence ratings
Rennes
Marseille
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rennes vs Marseille: result vs prediction
Rennes 1 – 0 Marseille
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rennes vs Marseille markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rennes | 46.1% | 2.17 | -5.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rennes | 46.1% |
| Draw | 23.0% | |
| Marseille | 30.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 19.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 78.3% |
| No | 21.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rennes win | 24.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.6% | |
| Loss | 58.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-2 | 7.2% |
| 2-1 | 6.9% | |
| 1-2 | 6.6% |
Rennes vs Marseille stats
Rennes vs Marseille head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Marseille | Rennes | Ligue 1 | 3-1 |
| 2026-02-03 | Marseille | Rennes | Coupe de France | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-15 | Rennes | Marseille | Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-17 | Marseille | Rennes | Ligue 1 | 4-2 |
| 2025-01-11 | Rennes | Marseille | Ligue 1 | 1-2 |
| 2024-03-17 | Rennes | Marseille | Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
| 2024-01-21 | Rennes | Marseille | Coupe de France | 1-1 |
| 2023-12-03 | Marseille | Rennes | Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
| 2023-03-05 | Rennes | Marseille | Ligue 1 | 0-1 |
| 2023-01-20 | Marseille | Rennes | Coupe de France | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rennes vs Marseille odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.4%, draw 24.8%, away 29.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.16 | 3.75 | 2.94 |
| 1xBet | 2.04 | 4.04 | 3.60 |
| 888Sport | 2.10 | 3.70 | 3.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 4.00 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.80 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.90 | 3.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.15 | 3.85 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.02 | 4.00 | 3.48 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04 | 3.99 | 3.46 |
| SBO | 2.06 | 3.36 | 2.88 |
| Superbet | 2.15 | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| Unibet | 2.12 | 3.70 | 3.00 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| winamax_de | 2.20 | 3.90 | 2.55 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
26 snapshots recorded, from .