Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 3

Angers vs Rennes

1 – 2 Full time

9′P. Frankowski
17′J. Lefort
35′C. Arcus
46′A. BermontB. Diatta
58′Charlie Cresswell
68′Q. MerlinM. Nagida
68′M. TamariI. Soumare
76′A. El OuazzaniP. Peter
76′J. AllevinahH. Djibirin
77′S. SzymanskiA. Thomasson
77′L. BlasE. Mayenda
83′C. ArcusL. Raolisoa
83′A. SbaiU. Simbakoli
89′E. LepaulB. Dia
90′Joseph Kalulu

Stade Raymond Kopa, AngersReferee: Geoffrey Kubler

Angers 26%
Draw 24%
Rennes 50%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 5
44 Possession % 56
12 Corners 6
10 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 2
4 Saves 2
327 Accurate passes 475

Angers vs Rennes overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Angers vs Rennes

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAngersDrawRennes
Model33.6%21.9%44.5%
Market24.0%24.4%51.5%
Final26.4%23.8%49.8%
Edge+9.5%-2.6%-7.0%

Confidence: High

Why Rennes

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Angers ↓ / Rennes → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 5% 1 9% 8% 6% 4% 2 7% 7% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

Angers and Rennes expected goals

Angers 1.79
Rennes 1.99

Total expected goals: 3.77

Angers and Rennes attack and defence ratings

Angers

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Rennes

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Angers vs Rennes: result vs prediction

Angers 1 – 2 Rennes

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Ligue 1

Before and after this match

Angers vs Rennes markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Rennes 49.8% 2.01 -7.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71.3% 1.40 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.8% 1.41 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.2% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.1% 1.82 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Angers26.4%
Draw23.8%
Rennes49.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571.3%
Under 2.528.7%
Both teams to scoreYes70.8%
No29.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)50.2%
12 (either side)76.2%
X2 (draw or away)73.6%
Handicap -1Rennes win25.4%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss55.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.7%
1-28.4%
2-17.2%

Angers vs Rennes stats

Angers and Rennes recent form

newest first
Angers WLDDLL
Rennes WDLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Angers vs Rennes head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

1Angers wins 1Draws 7Rennes wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-11RennesAngersLigue 12-1
2025-08-31AngersRennesLigue 11-1
2025-03-30AngersRennesLigue 10-3
2024-12-15RennesAngersLigue 12-0
2024-07-27RennesAngersFriendlies Clubs2-1
2023-04-30RennesAngersLigue 14-2
2022-10-23AngersRennesLigue 11-2
2022-03-06RennesAngersLigue 12-0
2021-08-29AngersRennesLigue 12-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Angers vs Rennes odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 24.4%, draw 24.9%, away 50.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.80 3.75 1.85
1xBet 4.07 4.07 1.91
Bet365 4.00 3.75 1.85
BetVictor 3.90 3.90 1.83
Betano 3.90 3.80 1.88
Betfair 3.90 3.90 1.87
Dafabet 3.95 3.85 1.91
Marathonbet 4.00 4.00 1.88
Pinnacle 3.99 3.96 1.88
SBO 3.41 3.36 1.86
Superbet 3.90 3.80 1.92
Unibet 3.75 3.65 1.88
William Hill 3.75 3.60 1.85
coolbet 4.00 3.90 1.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.00 ▼ -0.21
X 3.93 ▲ +0.08
2 1.86 ▼ -0.03

15 snapshots recorded, from .