Le Havre
vs
Brest
1 – 2 Full time
| 10′ | Lionel Mpasi Nzau | ||
| 12′ | K. Doumbia | ||
| 22′ | K. LalaL. Zogbe | ||
| 39′ | Kamory Doumbia | ||
| 45′ | Junior Mwanga | ||
| 46′ | R. NdiayeS. Nakamura | ||
| 51′ | K. Doumbia | ||
| 62′ | J. MajaR. Fofana | ||
| 62′ | T. PembeleE. K. Vinette | ||
| 67′ | M. BaldeN. Edjouma | ||
| 75′ | H. MagnettiJ. Nonge | ||
| 75′ | K. DoumbiaL. Tousart | ||
| 75′ | P. MboupG. Versini | ||
| 79′ | E. JelertD. Ouziad | ||
| 79′ | R. Fofana | ||
| 90′ | L. Mpasi-NzauG. Gallon |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 8 | Saves | 3 |
| 376 | Accurate passes | 287 |
Le Havre vs Brest overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Le Havre vs Brest
| Probability | Le Havre | Draw | Brest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.1% | 23.3% | 43.6% |
| Market | 34.9% | 28.8% | 36.3% |
| Final | 34.4% | 27.4% | 38.1% |
| Edge | -1.7% | -5.5% | +7.2% |
Why Brest
- The market prices Brest below the model: +7.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Le Havre and Brest expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.40
Le Havre and Brest attack and defence ratings
Le Havre
Brest
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Le Havre vs Brest: result vs prediction
Le Havre 1 – 2 Brest
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Le Havre vs Brest markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brest | 38.1% | 2.62 | +7.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.3% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Le Havre | 34.4% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Brest | 38.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% |
| No | 34.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Brest win | 23.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 56.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | |
| 2-1 | 7.6% |
Le Havre vs Brest stats
Le Havre vs Brest head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Brest | Le Havre | Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Le Havre | Brest | Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
| 2025-01-26 | Le Havre | Brest | Ligue 1 | 0-1 |
| 2024-10-06 | Brest | Le Havre | Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
| 2024-03-03 | Brest | Le Havre | Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
| 2023-08-20 | Le Havre | Brest | Ligue 1 | 1-2 |
| 2019-02-01 | Le Havre | Brest | Ligue 2 | 1-1 |
| 2018-08-28 | Le Havre | Brest | Coupe de la Ligue | 3-3 |
| 2018-08-24 | Brest | Le Havre | Ligue 2 | 1-0 |
| 2018-05-15 | Le Havre | Brest | Ligue 2 | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Le Havre vs Brest odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.7%, draw 28.9%, away 35.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.64 | 3.20 | 2.64 |
| 1xBet | 2.82 | 3.40 | 2.74 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 2.65 | 3.25 | 2.75 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.65 | 3.30 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.79 | 3.34 | 2.67 |
| Pinnacle | 2.80 | 3.34 | 2.69 |
| SBO | 2.45 | 3.01 | 2.57 |
| Superbet | 2.65 | 3.25 | 2.80 |
| Unibet | 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.65 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.60 |
| winamax_de | 2.40 | 3.25 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .