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Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 3

Lyon vs Auxerre

3 – 1 Full time

26′Arthur Piedfort
28′F. Bacher
31′Z. Athekame
42′C. Archer
53′E. Nuamah
62′Felix Bacher
66′N. AhamadaP. Ekwah
66′E. LegrosR. Mandengue
66′R. Labeau LascaryA. Zossou
67′P. SulcK. Merah
67′E. NuamahK. Boudache
68′Rayan Mandengue
76′M. BidstrupT. Tessmann
77′Tyler Morton
77′C. ArcherR. Faivre
86′F. BacherR. Kluivert
86′T. MortonN. Nartey
90′L. SyL. Dioubate

Groupama Stadium, LyonReferee: Ruddy Buquet

Lyon 63%
Draw 20%
Auxerre 16%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

21 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
64 Possession % 36
9 Corners 5
11 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 0
2 Saves 5
447 Accurate passes 229

Lyon vs Auxerre overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Lyon vs Auxerre

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLyonDrawAuxerre
Model54.1%21.9%23.9%
Market66.4%20.0%13.6%
Final63.4%20.5%16.2%
Edge-12.3%+1.9%+10.4%

Confidence: High

Why Lyon

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 1.29.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Lyon ↓ / Auxerre → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 10% 6% 2 7% 10% 6% 3 5% 6% 4+ 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 4%

Lyon and Auxerre expected goals

Lyon 2.13
Auxerre 1.29

Total expected goals: 3.42

Lyon and Auxerre attack and defence ratings

Lyon

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Auxerre

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Lyon vs Auxerre: result vs prediction

Lyon 3 – 1 Auxerre

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Ligue 1

Before and after this match

Lyon vs Auxerre markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Lyon 63.4% 1.58 -12.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.3% 1.55 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.1% 1.58 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.8% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.9% 2.18 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Lyon63.4%
Draw20.5%
Auxerre16.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.3%
Under 2.535.7%
Both teams to scoreYes63.1%
No36.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.8%
12 (either side)79.5%
X2 (draw or away)36.6%
Handicap -1Lyon win32.2%
Push (exactly one goal)22.0%
Loss45.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.7%
2-19.6%
2-07.4%

Lyon vs Auxerre stats

Lyon and Auxerre recent form

newest first
Lyon DLWDWL
Auxerre LLWWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Lyon vs Auxerre head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Lyon wins 3Draws 2Auxerre wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-25LyonAuxerreLigue 13-2
2025-11-23AuxerreLyonLigue 10-0
2025-04-13AuxerreLyonLigue 11-3
2024-10-27LyonAuxerreLigue 12-2
2023-02-17AuxerreLyonLigue 12-1
2022-08-31LyonAuxerreLigue 12-1
2012-04-07LyonAuxerreLigue 12-1
2011-11-27AuxerreLyonLigue 10-3
2011-05-11AuxerreLyonLigue 14-0
2010-12-22LyonAuxerreLigue 11-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Lyon vs Auxerre odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 66.2%, draw 20.0%, away 13.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.49 4.35 5.80
1xBet 1.46 5.03 7.50
Bet365 1.42 4.75 7.00
BetVictor 1.40 4.80 7.50
Betano 1.50 4.75 7.00
Betfair 1.40 4.75 7.00
Dafabet 1.43 5.00 6.80
Marathonbet 1.44 4.95 7.30
Pinnacle 1.43 4.96 7.48
SBO 1.46 3.94 5.22
Superbet 1.54 4.50 5.75
Unibet 1.42 4.50 6.75
William Hill 1.40 4.50 6.50
winamax_de 1.48 4.30 5.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.43 ▼ -0.05
X 4.75 ▲ +0.45
2 7.00 ▲ +1.70

11 snapshots recorded, from .