Auxerre vs Angers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Auxerre vs Angers
| Probability | Auxerre | Draw | Angers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.9% | 23.9% | 29.2% |
| Market | 49.2% | 27.1% | 23.7% |
| Final | 48.6% | 26.3% | 25.1% |
| Edge | -2.2% | -3.2% | +5.5% |
Why Auxerre
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.34.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Auxerre and Angers expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.18
Auxerre and Angers attack and defence ratings
Auxerre
Angers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Auxerre vs Angers: result vs prediction
Auxerre 1 – 3 Angers
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Auxerre vs Angers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Auxerre | 48.6% | 2.06 | -2.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Auxerre | 48.6% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Angers | 25.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.3% |
| No | 38.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Auxerre win | 25.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 53.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-0 | 7.7% |
Auxerre vs Angers stats
Auxerre vs Angers head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Auxerre | Angers | Ligue 1 | 3-1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Angers | Auxerre | Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
| 2025-01-19 | Angers | Auxerre | Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
| 2024-11-24 | Auxerre | Angers | Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Auxerre vs Angers odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.2%, draw 27.1%, away 23.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.45 | 3.95 |
| 1xBet | 1.97 | 3.70 | 4.22 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.50 | 4.05 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.98 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.94 | 3.64 | 4.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94 | 3.60 | 4.12 |
| SBO | 1.96 | 3.06 | 3.43 |
| Superbet | 2.00 | 3.45 | 3.90 |
| Unibet | 1.89 | 3.45 | 4.00 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .