Angers vs Lille overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Angers vs Lille
| Probability | Angers | Draw | Lille |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.3% | 26.4% | 55.3% |
| Market | 19.1% | 25.5% | 55.3% |
| Final | 18.9% | 25.7% | 55.3% |
| Edge | -0.8% | +0.8% | -0.0% |
Why Lille
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 0.81.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Angers and Lille expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.34
Angers and Lille attack and defence ratings
Angers
Lille
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Angers vs Lille: result vs prediction
Angers 0 – 2 Lille
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Angers vs Lille markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lille | 55.3% | 1.81 | -0.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Angers | 18.9% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Lille | 55.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.2% |
| No | 57.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lille win | 29.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.1% | |
| Loss | 44.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 15.1% |
| 1-1 | 12.1% | |
| 0-2 | 11.8% |
Angers vs Lille stats
Angers vs Lille head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Angers | Lille | Ligue 1 | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Lille | Angers | Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-27 | Angers | Lille | Ligue 1 | 0-2 |
| 2024-08-24 | Lille | Angers | Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Angers vs Lille odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.0%, draw 25.5%, away 55.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.85 | 3.65 | 1.69 |
| 1xBet | 5.08 | 3.94 | 1.77 |
| 888Sport | 4.60 | 3.60 | 1.70 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 3.70 | 1.70 |
| BetVictor | 5.00 | 3.70 | 1.70 |
| Betano | 5.10 | 3.90 | 1.75 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 3.80 | 1.75 |
| Dafabet | 5.00 | 3.80 | 1.73 |
| Marathonbet | 5.00 | 3.88 | 1.74 |
| Pinnacle | 5.00 | 3.75 | 1.76 |
| SBO | 4.66 | 3.50 | 1.70 |
| Superbet | 4.90 | 3.75 | 1.75 |
| Unibet | 5.10 | 3.60 | 1.67 |
| William Hill | 4.75 | 3.60 | 1.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .