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Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 1

Rennes vs Paris Saint Germain

0 – 0 Full time

Roazhon Park, RennesReferee: Bastein Dechepy

Rennes 20%
Draw 20%
Paris Saint Germain 59%

Confidence: High  ·  blended with market odds

Rennes vs Paris Saint Germain overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rennes vs Paris Saint Germain

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRennesDrawParis Saint Germain
Model29.6%21.0%49.4%
Market17.1%20.1%62.8%
Final20.2%20.3%59.5%
Edge+12.5%+1.0%-13.4%

Confidence: High

Why Paris Saint Germain

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 1.74.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rennes ↓ / Paris Saint Ge → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 5% 1 8% 9% 6% 6% 2 6% 7% 5% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 2%

Rennes and Paris Saint Germain expected goals

Rennes 1.74
Paris Saint Germain 2.17

Total expected goals: 3.91

Rennes and Paris Saint Germain attack and defence ratings

Rennes

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Paris Saint Germain

Attack 1.32 +32%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Rennes vs Paris Saint Germain: result vs prediction

Rennes 0 – 0 Paris Saint Germain

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 1 fixtures

Ligue 1

Before and after this match

Rennes vs Paris Saint Germain markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Paris Saint Germain 59.5% 1.68 -13.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.3% 1.36 — —
Both teams to score Yes 71.7% 1.39 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 79.8% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.5% 1.98 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rennes20.2%
Draw20.3%
Paris Saint Germain59.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.3%
Under 2.526.7%
Both teams to scoreYes71.7%
No28.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)40.5%
12 (either side)79.7%
X2 (draw or away)79.8%
Handicap -1Paris Saint Germain win29.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.0%
Loss50.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-28.5%
1-18.1%
2-27.0%

Rennes vs Paris Saint Germain stats

Rennes and Paris Saint Germain recent form

newest first
Rennes LWLWWW
Paris Saint Germain DLWWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Rennes vs Paris Saint Germain head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1Rennes wins 1Draws 4Paris Saint Germain wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-13RennesParis Saint GermainLigue 13-1
2025-12-06Paris Saint GermainRennesLigue 15-0
2025-03-08RennesParis Saint GermainLigue 11-4
2024-09-27Paris Saint GermainRennesLigue 13-1
2024-02-25Paris Saint GermainRennesLigue 11-1
2023-10-08RennesParis Saint GermainLigue 11-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Rennes vs Paris Saint Germain odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 17.2%, draw 20.1%, away 62.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.42 4.90 6.20
1xBet 6.14 4.78 1.56
888Sport 5.00 4.33 1.50
Bet365 5.50 4.75 1.50
BetVictor 5.75 4.60 1.50
Betano 5.50 4.80 1.57
Betfair 5.50 4.60 1.50
Dafabet 5.60 4.80 1.53
Marathonbet 6.05 4.70 1.53
Pinnacle 5.93 4.72 1.53
SBO 5.51 4.45 1.47
Superbet 5.50 4.80 1.53
Unibet 5.60 4.50 1.49
William Hill 5.00 4.40 1.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.51 ▲ +4.06
X 4.70 ▼ -0.20
2 1.50 ▼ -4.50

8 snapshots recorded, from .