Le Havre vs Monaco overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Le Havre vs Monaco
| Probability | Le Havre | Draw | Monaco |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.7% | 23.1% | 43.2% |
| Market | 25.9% | 24.9% | 49.2% |
| Final | 27.9% | 24.5% | 47.7% |
| Edge | +7.8% | -1.8% | -6.0% |
Why Monaco
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Le Havre and Monaco expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.46
Le Havre and Monaco attack and defence ratings
Le Havre
Monaco
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Le Havre vs Monaco: result vs prediction
Le Havre 0 – 1 Monaco
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Le Havre vs Monaco markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Monaco | 47.7% | 2.10 | -6.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Le Havre | 27.9% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Monaco | 47.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.4% |
| No | 33.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Monaco win | 23.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 56.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.0% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 7.6% |
Le Havre vs Monaco stats
Le Havre vs Monaco head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Le Havre | Monaco | Ligue 1 | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Monaco | Le Havre | Ligue 1 | 3-1 |
| 2025-04-26 | Le Havre | Monaco | Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-22 | Monaco | Le Havre | Ligue 1 | 3-1 |
| 2024-02-04 | Monaco | Le Havre | Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
| 2023-11-11 | Le Havre | Monaco | Ligue 1 | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Le Havre vs Monaco odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.0%, draw 24.8%, away 49.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.60 | 3.75 | 1.90 |
| 1xBet | 3.84 | 3.98 | 1.98 |
| 888Sport | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.91 |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 3.90 | 1.95 |
| BetVictor | 3.70 | 3.75 | 1.93 |
| Betano | 3.75 | 3.85 | 1.91 |
| Betfair | 3.75 | 3.90 | 1.95 |
| Dafabet | 3.65 | 3.85 | 1.97 |
| Marathonbet | 3.78 | 3.92 | 1.95 |
| Pinnacle | 3.76 | 3.81 | 1.97 |
| SBO | 3.48 | 3.52 | 1.94 |
| Superbet | 3.70 | 3.85 | 1.97 |
| Unibet | 3.65 | 3.85 | 1.85 |
| William Hill | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.91 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .