Nice vs Lorient overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nice vs Lorient
| Probability | Nice | Draw | Lorient |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.5% | 25.0% | 33.6% |
| Market | 43.1% | 28.9% | 28.0% |
| Final | 42.7% | 27.9% | 29.4% |
| Edge | -1.7% | -3.9% | +5.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nice and Lorient expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.03
Nice and Lorient attack and defence ratings
Nice
Lorient
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nice vs Lorient: result vs prediction
Nice 0 – 0 Lorient
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Nice vs Lorient markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nice | 42.7% | 2.34 | -1.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nice | 42.7% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Lorient | 29.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.6% |
| No | 40.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nice win | 20.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 58.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-0 | 7.9% |
Nice vs Lorient stats
Nice vs Lorient head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Lorient | Nice | Coupe de France | 0-0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Nice | Lorient | Ligue 1 | 3-3 |
| 2025-11-30 | Lorient | Nice | Ligue 1 | 3-1 |
| 2024-04-19 | Nice | Lorient | Ligue 1 | 3-0 |
| 2023-08-20 | Lorient | Nice | Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Nice vs Lorient odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.2%, draw 28.7%, away 28.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.08 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| 1xBet | 2.25 | 3.56 | 3.46 |
| 888Sport | 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.20 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.35 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.23 | 3.35 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.21 | 3.48 | 3.42 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27 | 3.33 | 3.49 |
| SBO | 2.21 | 3.13 | 3.15 |
| Superbet | 2.22 | 3.35 | 3.40 |
| Unibet | 2.12 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .