Lorient
vs
Estac Troyes
1 – 2 Full time
Lorient vs Estac Troyes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lorient vs Estac Troyes
| Probability | Lorient | Draw | Estac Troyes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.4% | 25.6% | 48.0% |
| Market | 51.1% | 26.9% | 22.0% |
| Final | 44.9% | 26.6% | 28.5% |
| Edge | -24.7% | -1.3% | +26.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lorient and Estac Troyes expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.75
Lorient and Estac Troyes attack and defence ratings
Lorient
Estac Troyes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lorient vs Estac Troyes: result vs prediction
Lorient 1 – 2 Estac Troyes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lorient vs Estac Troyes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lorient | 44.9% | 2.23 | -24.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lorient | 44.9% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Estac Troyes | 28.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% |
| No | 46.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lorient win | 10.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.1% | |
| Loss | 73.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 0-1 | 10.4% | |
| 1-2 | 9.4% |
Lorient vs Estac Troyes stats
Lorient and Estac Troyes recent form
| Lorient |
DLWDLW |
| Estac Troyes |
DLWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lorient vs Estac Troyes head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Lorient vs Estac Troyes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.1%, draw 26.9%, away 22.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.84 | 3.45 | 4.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.91 | 3.74 | 4.46 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 1.87 | 3.55 | 4.35 |
| Betfair | 1.87 | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.88 | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 3.68 | 4.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.62 | 4.42 |
| SBO | 1.86 | 3.14 | 3.64 |
| Superbet | 1.88 | 3.55 | 4.35 |
| Unibet | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .