Strasbourg
vs
Lens
2 – 1 Full time
Strasbourg vs Lens overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Strasbourg vs Lens
| Probability | Strasbourg | Draw | Lens |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.3% | 18.5% | 64.2% |
| Market | 27.5% | 26.3% | 46.2% |
| Final | 24.9% | 24.4% | 50.7% |
| Edge | -10.2% | -7.8% | +18.0% |
Why Lens
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.45 vs 1.29.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Lens below the model: +18.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Strasbourg and Lens expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.74
Strasbourg and Lens attack and defence ratings
Strasbourg
Lens
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Strasbourg vs Lens: result vs prediction
Strasbourg 2 – 1 Lens
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Strasbourg vs Lens markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lens | 50.7% | 1.97 | +18.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Lens win | 42.8% | 2.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Strasbourg | 24.9% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Lens | 50.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.7% |
| No | 35.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 49.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lens win | 42.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 35.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.3% |
| 1-1 | 7.8% | |
| 1-3 | 7.6% |
Strasbourg vs Lens stats
Strasbourg and Lens recent form
| Strasbourg |
LWWDLL |
| Lens |
WWWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Strasbourg vs Lens head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | Strasbourg | Lens | Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Lens | Strasbourg | Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
| 2025-02-16 | Lens | Strasbourg | Ligue 1 | 0-2 |
| 2024-10-06 | Strasbourg | Lens | Ligue 1 | 2-2 |
| 2024-02-10 | Lens | Strasbourg | Ligue 1 | 3-1 |
| 2023-09-29 | Strasbourg | Lens | Ligue 1 | 0-1 |
| 2023-04-07 | Lens | Strasbourg | Ligue 1 | 2-1 |
| 2023-01-11 | Strasbourg | Lens | Ligue 1 | 2-2 |
| 2022-04-03 | Strasbourg | Lens | Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
| 2021-09-22 | Lens | Strasbourg | Ligue 1 | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Strasbourg vs Lens odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.5%, draw 26.3%, away 46.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.35 | 3.65 | 2.00 |
| 1xBet | 3.68 | 3.64 | 2.13 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
| Dafabet | 3.45 | 3.60 | 2.11 |
| Marathonbet | 3.62 | 3.58 | 2.10 |
| Pinnacle | 3.69 | 3.48 | 2.10 |
| SBO | 3.02 | 3.25 | 2.04 |
| Superbet | 3.45 | 3.60 | 2.10 |
| Unibet | 3.35 | 3.55 | 2.04 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .