Rennes vs Le Mans overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rennes vs Le Mans
| Probability | Rennes | Draw | Le Mans |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.7% | 23.5% | 47.7% |
| Market | 65.4% | 20.2% | 14.4% |
| Final | 56.2% | 21.0% | 22.7% |
| Edge | -36.6% | +3.3% | +33.3% |
Why Rennes
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
83%
3+ goals
61%
No goals
5%
Rennes and Le Mans expected goals
Rennes
1.42
Le Mans
1.80
Total expected goals: 3.22
Rennes and Le Mans attack and defence ratings
Rennes
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
1.22 +22%
Le Mans
Attack
1.19 +19%
Defence
0.80 -20%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rennes vs Le Mans: result vs prediction
Rennes 3 – 2 Le Mans
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rennes vs Le Mans markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rennes | 56.2% | 1.78 | -36.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rennes | 56.2% |
| Draw | 21.0% | |
| Le Mans | 22.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.2% |
| No | 37.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rennes win | 12.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.1% | |
| Loss | 71.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 0-1 | 7.4% |
Rennes vs Le Mans stats
Rennes vs Le Mans head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Rennes vs Le Mans odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 65.3%, draw 20.1%, away 14.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.45 | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.48 | 4.93 | 7.21 |
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 4.50 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.45 | 4.75 | 6.70 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.45 | 5.00 | 6.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.46 | 4.85 | 7.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45 | 4.91 | 6.81 |
| SBO | 1.37 | 4.29 | 5.99 |
| Unibet | 1.44 | 4.50 | 6.40 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.50 | 6.50 |
| tipico_de | 1.45 | 4.70 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.44 ▼ -0.01
X
4.67 ▼ -0.03
2
6.55 ▲ +0.55
11 snapshots recorded, from .