Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 3

Nice vs Le Mans

1 – 1 Full time

13′A. Bourabaa
44′E. Wahi
58′Alexandre Lauray
61′R. TorrenteS. Yohou
61′D. GueyeH. Diallo
61′J. VercruysseA. Rabillard
65′N. NgoumouG. Hein
65′S. DiopM. Amoura
70′A. BourabaaB. Brahimi
74′N. NkounkouA. Abdi
74′A. WitselA. Mendy
75′Youssouf Ndayishimiye
78′L. CalodatY. Larouci
82′Noa Boissé
84′Elye Wahi
85′J. ClaussA. Camara

Allianz Riviera, NiceReferee: Jeremie Pignard

Nice 47%
Draw 25%
Le Mans 29%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 3
58 Possession % 42
5 Corners 2
4 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 1
2 Saves 1
471 Accurate passes 314

Nice vs Le Mans overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Nice vs Le Mans

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNiceDrawLe Mans
Model23.6%22.9%53.5%
Market54.5%25.1%20.4%
Final46.8%24.6%28.7%
Edge-31.0%-2.2%+33.2%

Confidence: Medium

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Nice ↓ / Le Mans → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 8% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

Nice and Le Mans expected goals

Nice 1.25
Le Mans 1.90

Total expected goals: 3.15

Nice and Le Mans attack and defence ratings

Nice

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Le Mans

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Nice vs Le Mans: result vs prediction

Nice 1 – 1 Le Mans

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Ligue 1

Before and after this match

Nice vs Le Mans markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Nice 46.8% 2.14 -31.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.5% 1.68 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.4% 1.68 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.4% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 76.5% 1.31 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Nice46.8%
Draw24.6%
Le Mans28.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.5%
Under 2.540.5%
Both teams to scoreYes59.4%
No40.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.3%
12 (either side)75.4%
X2 (draw or away)53.2%
Handicap -1Nice win9.4%
Push (exactly one goal)14.1%
Loss76.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.6%
1-29.8%
0-18.4%

Nice vs Le Mans stats

Nice and Le Mans recent form

newest first
Nice LDLDLD
Le Mans LDWDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Nice vs Le Mans head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Nice wins 0Draws 1Le Mans wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2019-10-30Le MansNiceCoupe de la Ligue3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Nice vs Le Mans odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 52.4%, draw 25.5%, away 22.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.80 3.60 4.20
1xBet 1.81 3.92 4.82
Bet365 1.75 3.75 4.75
BetVictor 1.73 3.80 4.60
Betano 1.85 3.65 4.25
Betfair 1.85 3.80 4.20
Dafabet 1.88 3.70 4.20
Marathonbet 1.78 3.86 4.75
Pinnacle 1.78 3.94 4.70
SBO 1.82 3.26 3.71
Superbet 1.88 3.65 4.20
Unibet 1.83 3.55 4.10
William Hill 1.75 3.60 4.33
winamax_de 1.68 3.70 4.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.77 ▲ +0.09
X 3.83 ▲ +0.13
2 4.72 ▲ +0.42

13 snapshots recorded, from .