Lens
vs
Lorient
0 – 1 Full time
| 14′ | Nathaniel Adjei | ||
| 24′ | M. UdolS. Sagnan | ||
| 26′ | Yassine Titraoui | ||
| 54′ | M. Kone | ||
| 60′ | Y. TitraouiA. Bulatovic | ||
| 61′ | A. HaidaraM. Cuisance | ||
| 67′ | N. MbambaA. Avom | ||
| 67′ | P. KatserisT. Le Bris | ||
| 67′ | M. KoneI. Balde | ||
| 70′ | R. AguilarF. Sotoca | ||
| 70′ | T. HazardO. Edouard | ||
| 75′ | G. BernardeauI. Jensen | ||
| 77′ | Michał Skóraś | ||
| 85′ | Souleymane Sagnan | ||
| 90′ | Souleymane Sagnan | ||
| 90′ | Souleymane Sagnan |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 8 | Corners | 0 |
| 18 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 6 |
| 512 | Accurate passes | 386 |
Lens vs Lorient overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lens vs Lorient
| Probability | Lens | Draw | Lorient |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 70.5% | 15.8% | 13.7% |
| Market | 62.4% | 21.6% | 16.0% |
| Final | 64.4% | 20.1% | 15.4% |
| Edge | +8.1% | -5.8% | -2.3% |
Why Lens
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.97 vs 1.22.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Lens below the model: +8.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lens and Lorient expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.18
Lens and Lorient attack and defence ratings
Lens
Lorient
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lens vs Lorient: result vs prediction
Lens 0 – 1 Lorient
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lens vs Lorient markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lens | 64.4% | 1.55 | +8.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Lens win | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lens | 64.4% |
| Draw | 20.1% | |
| Lorient | 15.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.3% |
| No | 33.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lens win | 50.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 29.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.5% |
| 3-1 | 8.0% | |
| 2-0 | 7.0% |
Lens vs Lorient stats
Lens vs Lorient head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Lorient | Lens | Ligue 1 | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Lens | Lorient | Ligue 1 | 3-0 |
| 2024-05-03 | Lens | Lorient | Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
| 2023-11-04 | Lorient | Lens | Ligue 1 | 0-0 |
| 2023-05-21 | Lorient | Lens | Ligue 1 | 1-3 |
| 2023-02-09 | Lorient | Lens | Coupe de France | 1-1 |
| 2022-08-31 | Lens | Lorient | Ligue 1 | 5-2 |
| 2022-02-06 | Lorient | Lens | Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
| 2021-08-29 | Lens | Lorient | Ligue 1 | 2-2 |
| 2021-04-11 | Lens | Lorient | Ligue 1 | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lens vs Lorient odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.3%, draw 20.9%, away 14.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.45 | 4.40 | 6.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.56 | 4.57 | 6.35 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 4.10 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.55 | 6.50 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 4.60 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.47 | 4.80 | 6.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.54 | 4.50 | 6.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.54 | 4.56 | 5.96 |
| SBO | 1.42 | 4.10 | 5.61 |
| Superbet | 1.47 | 4.75 | 6.50 |
| Unibet | 1.44 | 4.40 | 6.50 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| codere_it | 1.47 | 4.70 | 6.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .