Slavia Praha
vs
Lens
2 – 3 Full time
| 45′ | David ZimaMikulas Konecny | ||
| 49′ | Mikulas Konecny | ||
| 51′ | Danijel Sturm | ||
| 61′ | Franjo IvanovicMezian Soares Mesloub | ||
| 62′ | Michał SkóraśRuben Aguilar | ||
| 62′ | Souleymane SagnanOdsonne Édouard | ||
| 62′ | Ismaëlo Ganiou | ||
| 73′ | Abdallah Sima | ||
| 75′ | Amadou HaidaraFlorian Sotoca | ||
| 75′ | Abdallah SimaJunior Kadile | ||
| 76′ | Oskar KubiakDavid Jurasek | ||
| 76′ | Mojmír ChytilTomáš Chorý | ||
| 82′ | Wiktor NowakToumani Diakite | ||
| 84′ | Samuel IsifeIvan Schranz | ||
| 88′ | Danijel Sturm | ||
| 90′ | Florian Thauvin | ||
| 90′ | Ruben Aguilar |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 26 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 37 | Possession % | 63 |
| 6 | Corners | 9 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 190 | Accurate passes | 360 |
Slavia Praha vs Lens overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Slavia Praha vs Lens
| Probability | Slavia Praha | Draw | Lens |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.0% | 19.5% | 16.5% |
| Market | 35.7% | 26.8% | 37.5% |
| Final | 42.8% | 25.0% | 32.3% |
| Edge | +28.3% | -7.3% | -21.0% |
Why Slavia Praha
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.47 vs 1.22.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Slavia Praha below the model: +28.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Slavia Praha and Lens expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.69
Slavia Praha and Lens attack and defence ratings
Slavia Praha
Lens
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Slavia Praha vs Lens: result vs prediction
Slavia Praha 2 – 3 Lens
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Slavia Praha vs Lens markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slavia Praha | 42.8% | 2.34 | +28.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Slavia Praha win | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slavia Praha | 42.8% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Lens | 32.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.3% |
| No | 34.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Slavia Praha win | 43.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 36.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.3% |
| 1-1 | 8.3% | |
| 3-1 | 7.7% |
Slavia Praha vs Lens stats
Slavia Praha and Lens recent form
| Slavia Praha |
WWDDWW |
| Lens |
LLWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Slavia Praha vs Lens head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Slavia Praha vs Lens odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.2%, draw 27.3%, away 36.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.56 | 3.45 | 2.56 |
| 1xBet | 2.78 | 3.60 | 2.64 |
| 888Sport | 2.60 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.60 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.60 | 3.70 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.72 | 3.60 | 2.65 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.74 | 3.54 | 2.60 |
| Pinnacle | 2.76 | 3.55 | 2.60 |
| SBO | 2.46 | 3.22 | 2.54 |
| Superbet | 2.67 | 3.40 | 2.62 |
| Unibet | 2.65 | 3.45 | 2.60 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .