Czech Liga · Full time ·Matchday 7

Slavia Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno

4 – 0 Full time

20′D. ZimaT. Vlcek
26′L. ProvodE. Ayaosi
31′Tadeáš Vachoušek
36′Jakub Klíma
38′T. Chory
42′Štěpán Chaloupek
45′Danijel Šturm
62′T. VachousekB. Kanakimana
63′O. KubiakD. Jurasek
63′W. NowakP. Kacor
65′T. Chory
70′S. LangerJ. Zmrhal
70′J. KlimaJ. Janetzky
72′Bienvenue Kanakimana
76′E. Ayaosi
80′D. SturmT. Diakite
80′T. ChoryM. Chytil
85′A. VanicekL. Saal
85′D. VasulinO. Velich
88′D. Jurasek
90′P. CavosP. Sevcik

Fortuna Arena, PragueReferee: Jan Benes, Czechia

Slavia Praha 66%
Draw 19%
Zbrojovka Brno 14%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 0
47 Possession % 53
5 Corners 1
14 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 0
0 Saves 2
231 Accurate passes 259

Slavia Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Slavia Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySlavia PrahaDrawZbrojovka Brno
Model47.5%26.8%25.7%
Market72.4%16.9%10.7%
Final66.2%19.4%14.4%
Edge-24.9%+9.9%+15.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Slavia Praha

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 1.15.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Slavia Praha ↓ / Zbrojovka Brno → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Slavia Praha and Zbrojovka Brno expected goals

Slavia Praha 1.64
Zbrojovka Brno 1.15

Total expected goals: 2.79

Slavia Praha and Zbrojovka Brno attack and defence ratings

Slavia Praha

Attack 1.65 +65%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Zbrojovka Brno

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Slavia Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno: result vs prediction

Slavia Praha 4 – 0 Zbrojovka Brno

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

Slavia Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Slavia Praha 66.2% 1.51 -24.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.9% 1.89 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.3% 1.78 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.6% 1.17 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.5% 1.90 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Slavia Praha66.2%
Draw19.4%
Zbrojovka Brno14.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.9%
Under 2.547.1%
Both teams to scoreYes56.3%
No43.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.6%
12 (either side)80.6%
X2 (draw or away)33.8%
Handicap -1Slavia Praha win25.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss52.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.7%
2-19.5%
1-08.9%

Slavia Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno stats

Slavia Praha and Zbrojovka Brno recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Slavia Praha and Zbrojovka Brno going into this match

league record before kick-off

Slavia Praha record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Zbrojovka Brno record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Slavia Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Slavia Praha wins 2Draws 0Zbrojovka Brno wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-02-11Slavia PrahaZbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga2-0
2022-08-28Zbrojovka BrnoSlavia PrahaCzech Liga0-4
2021-04-04Zbrojovka BrnoSlavia PrahaCzech Liga0-0
2020-11-29Slavia PrahaZbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Slavia Praha vs Zbrojovka Brno odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 72.2%, draw 17.0%, away 10.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.30 5.10 8.25
1xBet 1.28 5.60 8.75
Bet365 1.30 5.25 7.50
BetVictor 1.29 5.50 9.00
Betano 1.32 5.10 7.80
Betfair 1.25 5.50 10.50
Dafabet 1.32 5.80 8.60
Marathonbet 1.27 5.60 8.80
Pinnacle 1.30 5.85 8.96
SBO 1.29 4.72 6.57
Unibet 1.27 5.60 9.50
William Hill 1.30 5.00 8.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.29 —
X 5.55 ▲ +0.15
2 8.78 ▲ +0.18

12 snapshots recorded, from .