Zlin
vs
Teplice
1 – 3 Full time
| 15′ | M. Pulkrab | ||
| 16′ | J. KolarA. Krapka | ||
| 24′ | M. PulkrabT. Zlatohlavek | ||
| 42′ | Jan Fortelný | ||
| 46′ | A. GaziF. Appiah | ||
| 46′ | T. PoznarS. Kanu | ||
| 47′ | Marián Pišoja | ||
| 54′ | T. Zlatohlavek | ||
| 57′ | M. FukalaS. Petruta | ||
| 60′ | M. CermakJ. Auta | ||
| 61′ | I. HopiD. Marecek | ||
| 69′ | J. FortelnyR. Jukl | ||
| 70′ | M. RadostaJ. Jakubko | ||
| 77′ | C. NombilM. Cupak | ||
| 80′ | J. Cernin | ||
| 84′ | J. Auta | ||
| 90′ | Matej Riznič |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 55 | Possession % | 45 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 289 | Accurate passes | 243 |
Zlin vs Teplice overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zlin vs Teplice
| Probability | Zlin | Draw | Teplice |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.2% | 21.3% | 57.5% |
| Market | 34.5% | 29.1% | 36.4% |
| Final | 31.1% | 27.2% | 41.7% |
| Edge | -13.3% | -7.8% | +21.1% |
Why Teplice
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.27 vs 1.36.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Teplice below the model: +21.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zlin and Teplice expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.63
Zlin and Teplice attack and defence ratings
Zlin
Teplice
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Zlin vs Teplice: result vs prediction
Zlin 1 – 3 Teplice
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zlin vs Teplice markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Teplice | 41.7% | 2.40 | +21.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.8% | 2.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zlin | 31.1% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| Teplice | 41.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.4% |
| No | 32.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Teplice win | 36.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 42.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.3% |
| 1-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-3 | 7.1% |
Zlin vs Teplice stats
Zlin and Teplice recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zlin and Teplice going into this match
Zlin record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Teplice record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zlin vs Teplice head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Zlin | Teplice | Czech Liga | 2-4 |
| 2026-04-18 | Zlin | Teplice | Czech Liga | 3-2 |
| 2025-07-19 | Teplice | Zlin | Czech Liga | 1-3 |
| 2024-02-11 | Teplice | Zlin | Czech Liga | 2-1 |
| 2023-08-26 | Zlin | Teplice | Czech Liga | 2-1 |
| 2023-05-14 | Teplice | Zlin | Czech Liga | 2-1 |
| 2023-02-11 | Zlin | Teplice | Czech Liga | 2-1 |
| 2022-08-27 | Teplice | Zlin | Czech Liga | 0-0 |
| 2022-05-01 | Zlin | Teplice | Czech Liga | 3-0 |
| 2021-12-04 | Teplice | Zlin | Czech Liga | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zlin vs Teplice odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.4%, draw 29.2%, away 36.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.64 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 1xBet | 2.69 | 3.18 | 2.55 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.55 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.60 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.85 | 3.20 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.69 | 3.18 | 2.55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.79 | 3.21 | 2.65 |
| SBO | 2.67 | 2.98 | 2.27 |
| Unibet | 2.75 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 2.90 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .