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Czech Liga · Full time ·Matchday 7

Mlada Boleslav vs Baník Ostrava

4 – 0 Full time

10′M. Subert
20′M. Subert
23′Matěj Hybš
28′Jiří Boula
31′Jiří Klíma
46′D. PechD. Mares
46′D. PlankaD. Gilbert
46′J. BoulaA. Traore
52′S. John
54′Mlada BoleslavM. Zachoval
61′D. HolzerM. Dyachuk
61′F. KubalaA. Musak
63′Maksym Diachuk
68′Jiri Micek
70′V. JureckaM. Kmet
71′M. SubertF. Matousek
71′J. KlimaJ. Kolarik
81′S. JohnL. Letenay
82′Yevgeniy Skyba
83′J. Kolarik

Lokotrans Arena, Mlada BoleslavReferee: Jan Vsetecka, Czechia

Mlada Boleslav 43%
Draw 27%
Baník Ostrava 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 23
9 Shots on target 5
51 Possession % 49
1 Corners 8
8 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 0
5 Saves 5
367 Accurate passes 324

Mlada Boleslav vs Baník Ostrava overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Mlada Boleslav vs Baník Ostrava

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMlada BoleslavDrawBaník Ostrava
Model43.3%29.4%27.4%
Market42.5%26.8%30.6%
Final42.7%27.5%29.8%
Edge+0.7%+2.5%-3.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Mlada Boleslav

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 1.06.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Mlada Boleslav ↓ / Baník Ostrava → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 8% 1 11% 14% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Mlada Boleslav and Baník Ostrava expected goals

Mlada Boleslav 1.39
Baník Ostrava 1.06

Total expected goals: 2.45

Mlada Boleslav and Baník Ostrava attack and defence ratings

Mlada Boleslav

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Baník Ostrava

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Mlada Boleslav vs Baník Ostrava: result vs prediction

Mlada Boleslav 4 – 0 Baník Ostrava

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

Mlada Boleslav vs Baník Ostrava markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Mlada Boleslav 42.7% 2.34 +0.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.6% 1.80 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.4% 1.98 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.5% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.7% 1.76 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Mlada Boleslav42.7%
Draw27.5%
Baník Ostrava29.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.4%
Under 2.555.6%
Both teams to scoreYes50.4%
No49.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.2%
12 (either side)72.5%
X2 (draw or away)57.3%
Handicap -1Mlada Boleslav win21.2%
Push (exactly one goal)22.0%
Loss56.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
1-010.7%
0-09.9%

Mlada Boleslav vs Baník Ostrava stats

Mlada Boleslav and Baník Ostrava recent form

newest first
Mlada Boleslav WDWDWL
Baník Ostrava WWLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Mlada Boleslav and Baník Ostrava going into this match

league record before kick-off

Mlada Boleslav record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.

Baník Ostrava record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.

Mlada Boleslav vs Baník Ostrava head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Mlada Boleslav wins 4Draws 4Baník Ostrava wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02Baník OstravaMlada BoleslavCzech Liga0-0
2026-02-22Baník OstravaMlada BoleslavCzech Liga0-0
2025-09-21Mlada BoleslavBaník OstravaCzech Liga1-1
2025-03-09Baník OstravaMlada BoleslavCzech Liga2-1
2024-10-06Mlada BoleslavBaník OstravaCzech Liga0-0
2024-05-11Baník OstravaMlada BoleslavCzech Liga0-1
2024-02-17Mlada BoleslavBaník OstravaCzech Liga1-3
2023-09-02Baník OstravaMlada BoleslavCzech Liga2-0
2023-04-22Mlada BoleslavBaník OstravaCzech Liga1-0
2022-10-29Baník OstravaMlada BoleslavCzech Liga3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Mlada Boleslav vs Baník Ostrava odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.1%, draw 26.8%, away 31.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.22 3.35 2.92
1xBet 2.18 3.44 3.09
Bet365 2.10 3.50 3.00
BetVictor 2.20 3.60 3.00
Betano 2.27 3.25 3.00
Betfair 2.25 3.50 2.90
Dafabet 2.28 3.50 3.05
Marathonbet 2.16 3.44 3.08
Pinnacle 2.20 3.52 3.23
SBO 2.16 3.16 2.70
Unibet 2.25 3.50 2.95
William Hill 2.25 3.30 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.19 ▼ -0.05
X 3.47 ▲ +0.02
2 3.04 ▲ +0.09

14 snapshots recorded, from .