Czech Liga · Full time ·Matchday 8

Slovan Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav

3 – 0 Full time

20′Vasil Kušej
34′Lukáš MasopustVojtech Stransky
39′Vojtech Stransky
45′Martin Králik
49′Fallou Faye
55′Lukas Masek
57′Jiří KlímaJosef Kolarik
57′Martin ŠubertMarek Havran
59′Augustin Drakpe
66′Vojtech Stransky
67′Milan LexaVénuste Baboula
70′Matej HybsMatej Zachoval
76′Patrik DulayPetr Hodous
76′Lukas MasekEnej Marsetič
77′Fallou FayeAlexandr Buzek
80′Jan ZíkaDavid Pech
80′Solomon JohnJan Buryan

Stadion U Nisy, LiberecReferee: Jan Machalek, Czechia

Slovan Liberec 49%
Draw 25%
Mlada Boleslav 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

26 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 3
60 Possession % 40
7 Corners 4
16 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 3
3 Saves 5
229 Accurate passes 350

Slovan Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Slovan Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySlovan LiberecDrawMlada Boleslav
Model26.2%30.4%43.4%
Market56.7%23.1%20.2%
Final49.1%24.9%26.0%
Edge-30.5%+7.3%+23.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Slovan Liberec ↓ / Mlada Boleslav → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 12% 9% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 11%

Slovan Liberec and Mlada Boleslav expected goals

Slovan Liberec 0.98
Mlada Boleslav 1.33

Total expected goals: 2.30

Slovan Liberec and Mlada Boleslav attack and defence ratings

Slovan Liberec

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Mlada Boleslav

Attack 1.38 +38%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Slovan Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav: result vs prediction

Slovan Liberec 3 – 0 Mlada Boleslav

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

Slovan Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Slovan Liberec 49.1% 2.04 -30.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.6% 1.68 — —
Both teams to score No 53.0% 1.89 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.1% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 73.8% 1.35 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Slovan Liberec49.1%
Draw24.9%
Mlada Boleslav26.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.4%
Under 2.559.6%
Both teams to scoreYes47.0%
No53.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.0%
12 (either side)75.1%
X2 (draw or away)50.9%
Handicap -1Slovan Liberec win9.9%
Push (exactly one goal)16.3%
Loss73.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
0-112.0%
0-011.3%

Slovan Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav stats

Slovan Liberec and Mlada Boleslav recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Slovan Liberec and Mlada Boleslav going into this match

league record before kick-off

Slovan Liberec record

  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.

Mlada Boleslav record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.

Slovan Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Slovan Liberec wins 3Draws 4Mlada Boleslav wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-18Slovan LiberecMlada BoleslavCzech Liga0-0
2025-07-20Mlada BoleslavSlovan LiberecCzech Liga3-3
2025-02-16Slovan LiberecMlada BoleslavCzech Liga3-1
2024-12-05Mlada BoleslavSlovan LiberecCzech Liga1-0
2024-06-29Mlada BoleslavSlovan LiberecFriendlies Clubs1-0
2023-11-25Slovan LiberecMlada BoleslavCzech Liga2-1
2023-11-01Slovan LiberecMlada BoleslavCup1-0
2023-07-30Mlada BoleslavSlovan LiberecCzech Liga2-2
2023-03-12Mlada BoleslavSlovan LiberecCzech Liga4-0
2022-09-17Slovan LiberecMlada BoleslavCzech Liga1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Slovan Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 56.6%, draw 23.5%, away 19.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.62 3.80 4.75
1xBet 1.64 4.10 4.56
888Sport 1.62 3.80 4.80
Bet365 1.62 3.80 4.50
BetVictor 1.62 3.90 4.50
Betano 1.65 3.85 4.70
Betfair 1.57 4.20 5.00
Dafabet 1.64 4.10 5.00
Marathonbet 1.62 4.10 4.60
Pinnacle 1.67 4.12 4.64
SBO 1.55 3.61 4.47
Unibet 1.66 4.00 4.60
William Hill 1.65 3.80 4.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.63 ▲ +0.01
X 4.00 ▼ -0.15
2 4.58 —

13 snapshots recorded, from .