Mlada Boleslav
vs
Zbrojovka Brno
2 – 0 Full time
| 7′ | M. Subert | ||
| 50′ | J. Klima | ||
| 59′ | P. CavosL. Ezeh | ||
| 59′ | S. LangerP. Sevcik | ||
| 64′ | F. Matousek | ||
| 64′ | D. VasulinA. Soliu | ||
| 68′ | J. Floder | ||
| 73′ | J. KlimaJ. Kolarik | ||
| 74′ | F. MatousekD. Donat | ||
| 74′ | J. JanetzkyM. Rymarenko | ||
| 74′ | T. VachousekJ. Zmrhal | ||
| 82′ | S. JohnM. Havran | ||
| 88′ | M. SubertM. Zachoval | ||
| 88′ | D. LanghamerJ. Buryan |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 20 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 6 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 6 | Saves | 4 |
| 376 | Accurate passes | 310 |
Mlada Boleslav vs Zbrojovka Brno overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mlada Boleslav vs Zbrojovka Brno
| Probability | Mlada Boleslav | Draw | Zbrojovka Brno |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.6% | 27.4% | 30.0% |
| Market | 41.8% | 27.0% | 31.2% |
| Final | 42.0% | 27.1% | 30.9% |
| Edge | +0.8% | +0.3% | -1.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mlada Boleslav and Zbrojovka Brno expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.80
Mlada Boleslav and Zbrojovka Brno attack and defence ratings
Mlada Boleslav
Zbrojovka Brno
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mlada Boleslav vs Zbrojovka Brno: result vs prediction
Mlada Boleslav 2 – 0 Zbrojovka Brno
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mlada Boleslav vs Zbrojovka Brno markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mlada Boleslav | 42.0% | 2.38 | +0.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mlada Boleslav | 42.0% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Zbrojovka Brno | 30.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.5% |
| No | 42.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mlada Boleslav win | 21.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 57.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-0 | 8.2% |
Mlada Boleslav vs Zbrojovka Brno stats
Mlada Boleslav and Zbrojovka Brno recent form
| Mlada Boleslav |
LWWDWD |
| Zbrojovka Brno |
WLWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mlada Boleslav and Zbrojovka Brno going into this match
Mlada Boleslav record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
Zbrojovka Brno record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Mlada Boleslav vs Zbrojovka Brno head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-01-29 | Mlada Boleslav | Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga | 0-0 |
| 2022-08-13 | Zbrojovka Brno | Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga | 3-1 |
| 2021-05-08 | Zbrojovka Brno | Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga | 2-3 |
| 2021-01-16 | Mlada Boleslav | Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mlada Boleslav vs Zbrojovka Brno odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.8%, draw 27.0%, away 31.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.21 | 3.46 | 2.95 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.19 | 3.46 | 2.93 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27 | 3.61 | 2.98 |
| SBO | 2.05 | 3.18 | 2.88 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .