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Czech Liga · Full time ·Matchday 9

Slovácko vs Baník Ostrava

2 – 2 Full time

25′Michal Frydrych
46′Roan Nogha
49′Gigli Ndefe
51′Patrik Blahút
56′Filip KubalaVáclav Jurečka
56′Abdullahi BeweneRhodri Smith
58′Jocelin Behiratche
60′David PuškáčJan Fiala
61′Maksym DiachukYevgeniy Skyba
74′Lukáš VorlickýPavel Juroška
74′Gigli NdefeAdam Alabi
75′Artúr MusákFilip Šancl
75′Dantaye GilbertMatúš Kmeť
83′Tihomir KostadinovGibril Sosseh
83′Marek HavlíkAlan Marinelli
87′Filip Šancl
89′Matúš Kmeť
90′Yevgeniy Skyba

Mestsky stadion Miroslava Valenty, Uherske HradisteReferee: Jan Machalek, Czechia

Slovácko 37%
Draw 29%
Baník Ostrava 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 7
51 Possession % 49
2 Corners 4
9 Fouls 18
2 Offsides 2
5 Saves 1
272 Accurate passes 257

Slovácko vs Baník Ostrava overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Slovácko vs Baník Ostrava

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySlováckoDrawBaník Ostrava
Model36.0%30.6%33.4%
Market37.7%28.8%33.5%
Final37.3%29.2%33.5%
Edge-1.7%+1.9%-0.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Slovácko ↓ / Baník Ostrava → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 10% 1 10% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

Slovácko and Baník Ostrava expected goals

Slovácko 1.21
Baník Ostrava 1.15

Total expected goals: 2.35

Slovácko and Baník Ostrava attack and defence ratings

Slovácko

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Baník Ostrava

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Slovácko vs Baník Ostrava: result vs prediction

Slovácko 2 – 2 Baník Ostrava

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

Slovácko vs Baník Ostrava markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Slovácko 37.3% 2.68 -1.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.3% 1.72 — —
Both teams to score No 50.9% 1.96 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.8% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.8% 1.57 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Slovácko37.3%
Draw29.2%
Baník Ostrava33.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.7%
Under 2.558.3%
Both teams to scoreYes49.1%
No50.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.5%
12 (either side)70.8%
X2 (draw or away)62.7%
Handicap -1Slovácko win16.0%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss63.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.5%
0-010.9%
1-010.2%

Slovácko vs Baník Ostrava stats

Slovácko and Baník Ostrava recent form

newest first
Slovácko LDDLLL
Baník Ostrava LLLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Slovácko and Baník Ostrava going into this match

league record before kick-off

Slovácko record

  • They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Baník Ostrava record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

Slovácko vs Baník Ostrava head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Slovácko wins 2Draws 5Baník Ostrava wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-12SlováckoBaník OstravaCzech Liga2-1
2026-02-01SlováckoBaník OstravaCzech Liga2-2
2025-08-24Baník OstravaSlováckoCzech Liga2-0
2024-12-14Baník OstravaSlováckoCzech Liga3-1
2024-08-18SlováckoBaník OstravaCzech Liga1-0
2024-05-26Baník OstravaSlováckoCzech Liga6-0
2023-11-26SlováckoBaník OstravaCzech Liga2-0
2023-07-29Baník OstravaSlováckoCzech Liga0-0
2023-04-08SlováckoBaník OstravaCzech Liga0-1
2022-10-16Baník OstravaSlováckoCzech Liga3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Slovácko vs Baník Ostrava odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.7%, draw 28.8%, away 33.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.44 3.20 2.75
Bet365 2.45 3.30 2.60
BetVictor 2.40 3.25 2.70
Betano 2.52 3.10 2.77
Betfair 2.40 3.40 2.75
Marathonbet 2.44 3.20 2.75
Pinnacle 2.52 3.29 2.84
SBO 2.30 3.00 2.62
William Hill 2.40 3.10 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.44 —
X 3.20 ▼ -0.05
2 2.75 ▲ +0.15

13 snapshots recorded, from .