Slovan Liberec
vs
Slovácko
Garuda Lions Prediction: Slovan Liberec
1 – 0 Predicted score · 16% model probability
Slovan Liberec vs Slovácko overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Slovan Liberec vs Slovácko
| Probability | Slovan Liberec | Draw | Slovácko |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.3% | 28.6% | 15.1% |
| Market | 62.0% | 22.5% | 15.5% |
| Final | 60.6% | 24.0% | 15.4% |
| Edge | -5.7% | +6.1% | -0.4% |
Why Slovan Liberec
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 0.65.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.53, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Slovan Liberec vs Slovácko match preview
Slovan Liberec is positioned as the favorite with a 56% probability of winning against Slovácko, who has a 15% chance of victory. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Slovan Liberec, with a 16% probability. Expected goals suggest a strong offensive performance from Liberec at 1.49, while Slovácko is projected to score only 0.65.
In terms of recent form, Slovan Liberec has demonstrated resilience with a record of D-W-W-W-W-D, while Slovácko is struggling, having recorded D-L-D-D-L-L in their last six matches. Historically, Slovan Liberec has dominated their recent encounters, winning both of the last two head-to-head matches against Slovácko.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Slovan Liberec and Slovácko expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.14
Slovan Liberec and Slovácko attack and defence ratings
Slovan Liberec
Slovácko
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Slovan Liberec vs Slovácko markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slovan Liberec | 60.6% | 1.65 | -5.7% | 1.53 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slovan Liberec | 60.6% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Slovácko | 15.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.1% |
| No | 61.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Slovan Liberec win | 29.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.4% | |
| Loss | 43.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.4% |
| 2-0 | 13.0% | |
| 0-0 | 12.9% |
Slovan Liberec vs Slovácko stats
Slovan Liberec and Slovácko recent form
| Slovan Liberec |
DWWWWD |
| Slovácko |
DLDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Slovan Liberec and Slovácko season so far
Slovan Liberec record
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Slovácko record
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Slovan Liberec vs Slovácko head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Slovan Liberec | Slovácko | Czech Liga | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Slovácko | Slovan Liberec | Czech Liga | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Slovan Liberec vs Slovácko odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 62.0%, draw 22.5%, away 15.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.49 | 4.15 | 5.98 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 3.90 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.53 | 4.05 | 5.60 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 4.20 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.52 | 4.30 | 6.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.48 | 4.15 | 5.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52 | 4.37 | 5.43 |
| SBO | 1.43 | 3.76 | 5.51 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .