Zbrojovka Brno
vs
FK Jablonec
Garuda Lions Prediction: Zbrojovka Brno
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Zbrojovka Brno vs FK Jablonec overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zbrojovka Brno vs FK Jablonec
| Probability | Zbrojovka Brno | Draw | FK Jablonec |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.8% | 31.2% | 31.9% |
| Market | 37.6% | 27.7% | 34.7% |
| Final | 37.4% | 28.6% | 34.0% |
| Edge | -0.8% | +3.5% | -2.7% |
Why Zbrojovka Brno
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.55, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Zbrojovka Brno vs FK Jablonec match preview
Zbrojovka Brno faces FK Jablonec in a Czech Liga matchup on October 10, 2026. The model indicates a 37% probability of a Zbrojovka Brno victory, while FK Jablonec has a 32% chance of winning, and a draw stands at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Zbrojovka Brno, with an 11% probability.
In terms of expected goals, Zbrojovka Brno is projected to score 1.18, compared to FK Jablonec's 1.08. Recent form shows Zbrojovka Brno with three wins and two losses in their last six matches, while FK Jablonec has struggled with only one win in the same period, along with three draws and two losses. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 40%, and both teams to score sits at 47%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zbrojovka Brno and FK Jablonec expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.27
Zbrojovka Brno and FK Jablonec attack and defence ratings
Zbrojovka Brno
FK Jablonec
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zbrojovka Brno vs FK Jablonec markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zbrojovka Brno | 37.4% | 2.67 | -0.8% | 2.55 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.4% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zbrojovka Brno | 37.4% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| FK Jablonec | 34.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.3% |
| No | 52.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zbrojovka Brno win | 16.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 63.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.7% | |
| 1-0 | 10.9% |
Zbrojovka Brno vs FK Jablonec stats
Zbrojovka Brno and FK Jablonec recent form
| Zbrojovka Brno |
LWLWWW |
| FK Jablonec |
DLWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zbrojovka Brno and FK Jablonec season so far
Zbrojovka Brno record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
FK Jablonec record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Zbrojovka Brno vs FK Jablonec head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-21 | FK Jablonec | Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga | 1-0 |
| 2023-03-19 | Zbrojovka Brno | FK Jablonec | Czech Liga | 1-2 |
| 2022-10-02 | FK Jablonec | Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga | 3-1 |
| 2021-03-14 | Zbrojovka Brno | FK Jablonec | Czech Liga | 1-2 |
| 2020-11-06 | FK Jablonec | Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga | 0-1 |
| 2019-10-01 | FK Jablonec | Zbrojovka Brno | Cup | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zbrojovka Brno vs FK Jablonec odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.6%, draw 27.7%, away 34.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.44 | 3.38 | 2.63 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.25 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.44 | 3.38 | 2.63 |
| Pinnacle | 2.55 | 3.36 | 2.69 |
| SBO | 2.41 | 3.02 | 2.47 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.20 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .