Bohemians 1905
vs
Baník Ostrava
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bohemians 1905
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava
| Probability | Bohemians 1905 | Draw | Baník Ostrava |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.3% | 27.4% | 28.3% |
| Market | 41.3% | 26.6% | 32.1% |
| Final | 42.0% | 26.8% | 31.2% |
| Edge | +3.0% | +0.8% | -3.8% |
Why Bohemians 1905
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.56 vs 1.21.
- The market prices Bohemians 1905 below the model: +3.0 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava match preview
Bohemians 1905 will host Baník Ostrava in a Czech Liga match on October 10, 2026. The model gives Bohemians a 44% chance of winning, while Baník Ostrava has a 28% probability of victory, and a draw is set at 27%. The expected goals for Bohemians is 1.56, compared to 1.21 for Baník Ostrava, indicating a slight advantage for the home side. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Bohemians 1905 comes off a mixed run with two wins, a draw, and two losses, while Baník Ostrava has recorded one win, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches. Historically, Bohemians 1905 has dominated their recent encounters, winning both of the last two matches against Baník Ostrava. The probabilities indicate a competitive matchup, but Bohemians appear to hold the edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bohemians 1905 and Baník Ostrava expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.77
Bohemians 1905 and Baník Ostrava attack and defence ratings
Bohemians 1905
Baník Ostrava
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bohemians 1905 | 42.0% | 2.38 | +3.0% | 2.30 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bohemians 1905 | 42.0% |
| Draw | 26.8% | |
| Baník Ostrava | 31.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.6% |
| No | 43.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bohemians 1905 win | 23.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 55.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-0 | 8.6% |
Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava stats
Bohemians 1905 and Baník Ostrava recent form
| Bohemians 1905 |
LWLDDW |
| Baník Ostrava |
DLLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bohemians 1905 and Baník Ostrava season so far
Bohemians 1905 record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 54% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Baník Ostrava record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Baník Ostrava | Bohemians 1905 | Czech Liga | 0-2 |
| 2025-07-19 | Bohemians 1905 | Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-19 | Baník Ostrava | Bohemians 1905 | Czech Liga | 1-0 |
| 2024-07-20 | Bohemians 1905 | Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga | 2-1 |
| 2024-02-24 | Baník Ostrava | Bohemians 1905 | Czech Liga | 1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 | Bohemians 1905 | Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga | 1-1 |
| 2022-11-12 | Baník Ostrava | Bohemians 1905 | Czech Liga | 4-1 |
| 2022-08-06 | Bohemians 1905 | Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga | 3-3 |
| 2022-02-26 | Bohemians 1905 | Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga | 0-2 |
| 2021-09-25 | Baník Ostrava | Bohemians 1905 | Czech Liga | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.3%, draw 26.6%, away 32.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.86 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.45 | 2.90 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.30 | 3.55 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.23 | 3.50 | 2.84 |
| Pinnacle | 2.30 | 3.58 | 2.87 |
| SBO | 2.12 | 3.15 | 2.77 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .