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Czech Liga · Full time ·Matchday 10

Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava

1 – 0 Full time

26′Aleš Čermák
46′Filip ŠanclDantaye Gilbert
60′David PlankaArtúr Musák
69′Ladislav KrobotVáclav Pilař
69′Vojtěch SmržSamuel Obinaya
74′Václav JurečkaMichal Kohút
74′Jiří BoulaAboubacar Traore
79′Roman KvetŠimon Černý
83′Daniel HolzerMatúš Kmeť
90′Aleš ČermákDenis Vála
90′Ladislav AlmásiDavid Heidenreich

Dolicek, PragueReferee: A. Trska

Bohemians 1905 42%
Draw 27%
Baník Ostrava 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
49 Possession % 51
5 Corners 5
4 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 3
1 Saves 4
344 Accurate passes 358

Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBohemians 1905DrawBaník Ostrava
Model44.2%27.4%28.4%
Market41.6%26.5%31.8%
Final42.3%26.7%31.0%
Edge+0.6%+0.2%-0.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Bohemians 1905

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.56 vs 1.21.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bohemians 1905 ↓ / Baník Ostrava → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 7%

Bohemians 1905 and Baník Ostrava expected goals

Bohemians 1905 1.56
Baník Ostrava 1.21

Total expected goals: 2.77

Bohemians 1905 and Baník Ostrava attack and defence ratings

Bohemians 1905

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Baník Ostrava

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava: result vs prediction

Bohemians 1905 1 – 0 Baník Ostrava

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bohemians 1905 42.3% 2.36 +0.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.3% 1.91 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.6% 1.77 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.3% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.8% 1.79 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bohemians 190542.3%
Draw26.7%
Baník Ostrava31.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.3%
Under 2.547.7%
Both teams to scoreYes56.6%
No43.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.0%
12 (either side)73.3%
X2 (draw or away)57.7%
Handicap -1Bohemians 1905 win23.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.2%
Loss55.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.0%
2-19.2%
1-08.6%

Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava stats

Bohemians 1905 and Baník Ostrava recent form

newest first
Bohemians 1905 LWLDDW
Baník Ostrava DLLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bohemians 1905 and Baník Ostrava going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bohemians 1905 record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • 54% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Baník Ostrava record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.

Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Bohemians 1905 wins 3Draws 4Baník Ostrava wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-18Baník OstravaBohemians 1905Czech Liga0-2
2025-07-19Bohemians 1905Baník OstravaCzech Liga1-0
2025-04-19Baník OstravaBohemians 1905Czech Liga1-0
2024-07-20Bohemians 1905Baník OstravaCzech Liga2-1
2024-02-24Baník OstravaBohemians 1905Czech Liga1-1
2023-09-16Bohemians 1905Baník OstravaCzech Liga1-1
2022-11-12Baník OstravaBohemians 1905Czech Liga4-1
2022-08-06Bohemians 1905Baník OstravaCzech Liga3-3
2022-02-26Bohemians 1905Baník OstravaCzech Liga0-2
2021-09-25Baník OstravaBohemians 1905Czech Liga4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.6%, draw 26.5%, away 31.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.25 3.50 2.86
Bet365 2.20 3.25 3.00
BetVictor 2.20 3.40 2.88
Betano 2.25 3.45 2.90
Betfair 2.20 3.60 2.90
Dafabet 2.26 3.55 3.05
Marathonbet 2.23 3.50 2.84
Pinnacle 2.24 3.69 3.02
SBO 2.13 3.25 2.82
William Hill 2.20 3.40 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.21 ▲ +0.06
X 3.48 ▼ -0.04
2 2.90 ▼ -0.10

13 snapshots recorded, from .