Sparta Praha
vs
Pardubice
2 – 0 Full time
| 4′ | John Mercado | ||
| 46′ | Ebrima SinghatehMatěj Jurásek | ||
| 46′ | Tobias BoledovicRyan Mahuta | ||
| 51′ | Jaroslav Zelený | ||
| 57′ | Victor SamuelDaniel Smékal | ||
| 57′ | Marek IchaTomáš Jelínek | ||
| 63′ | Hugo SochurekSantiago Eneme | ||
| 67′ | Václav DrchalKahuan | ||
| 74′ | Jaroslav ZelenýAdam Ševinský | ||
| 74′ | Patrik VydraSivert Mannsverk | ||
| 75′ | Giannis-Fivos Botos | ||
| 84′ | Martin SuchomelViktor Vitályos | ||
| 84′ | Giannis-Fivos BotosMartin Reil | ||
| 85′ | Kahuan |
Match stats
| 24 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 4 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 5 | Saves | 7 |
| 383 | Accurate passes | 303 |
Sparta Praha vs Pardubice overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sparta Praha vs Pardubice
| Probability | Sparta Praha | Draw | Pardubice |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.5% | 22.6% | 17.8% |
| Market | 69.7% | 18.4% | 11.9% |
| Final | 67.2% | 19.5% | 13.4% |
| Edge | -2.5% | +1.1% | +1.5% |
Why Sparta Praha
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 1.07.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sparta Praha and Pardubice expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.14
Sparta Praha and Pardubice attack and defence ratings
Sparta Praha
Pardubice
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sparta Praha vs Pardubice: result vs prediction
Sparta Praha 2 – 0 Pardubice
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sparta Praha vs Pardubice markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sparta Praha | 67.2% | 1.49 | -2.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sparta Praha | 67.2% |
| Draw | 19.5% | |
| Pardubice | 13.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.3% |
| No | 41.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sparta Praha win | 37.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 40.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.3% |
Sparta Praha vs Pardubice stats
Sparta Praha and Pardubice recent form
| Sparta Praha |
WWWLLW |
| Pardubice |
WWDLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sparta Praha and Pardubice going into this match
Sparta Praha record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Pardubice record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Sparta Praha vs Pardubice head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | Sparta Praha | Pardubice | Czech Liga | 2-4 |
| 2025-08-03 | Pardubice | Sparta Praha | Czech Liga | 1-3 |
| 2025-04-19 | Pardubice | Sparta Praha | Czech Liga | 1-2 |
| 2024-07-19 | Sparta Praha | Pardubice | Czech Liga | 2-1 |
| 2023-12-03 | Pardubice | Sparta Praha | Czech Liga | 1-2 |
| 2023-08-05 | Sparta Praha | Pardubice | Czech Liga | 5-2 |
| 2023-04-09 | Pardubice | Sparta Praha | Czech Liga | 0-2 |
| 2022-10-15 | Sparta Praha | Pardubice | Czech Liga | 5-2 |
| 2022-03-13 | Sparta Praha | Pardubice | Czech Liga | 3-1 |
| 2021-10-17 | Pardubice | Sparta Praha | Czech Liga | 2-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sparta Praha vs Pardubice odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 69.7%, draw 18.4%, away 11.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.31 | 5.25 | 7.95 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 4.75 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.35 | 5.00 | 7.20 |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.36 | 5.40 | 7.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.30 | 5.25 | 7.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33 | 5.61 | 8.37 |
| SBO | 1.33 | 4.76 | 6.18 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .