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Czech Liga · Full time ·Matchday 9

Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Praha

0 – 3 Full time

25′J. Mercado
38′M. Rynes
46′D. TkacM. Hadas
60′R. MacekS. Eneme
60′J. BrunesM. Jurasek
64′M. RynesJ. Zeleny
67′M. Soldo
71′V. SejkJ. Dembe
72′D. JanosekH. Mikaelsson
73′H. SochurekP. Vydra
73′P. KaderabekK. Hoever
86′M. SoldoJ. Spacil
87′A. GhaliJ. Sip
88′E. Singhateh
90′A. Sylla

Andruv stadion, OlomoucReferee: Karel Roucek, Czechia

Sigma Olomouc 35%
Draw 25%
Sparta Praha 40%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 5
47 Possession % 53
3 Corners 7
9 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 7
3 Saves 4
300 Accurate passes 352

Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Praha overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Praha

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySigma OlomoucDrawSparta Praha
Model48.0%23.3%28.7%
Market30.9%25.0%44.1%
Final35.2%24.6%40.3%
Edge+17.2%-1.8%-15.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sigma Olomouc ↓ / Sparta Praha → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 69%
No goals 4%

Sigma Olomouc and Sparta Praha expected goals

Sigma Olomouc 2.01
Sparta Praha 1.54

Total expected goals: 3.56

Sigma Olomouc and Sparta Praha attack and defence ratings

Sigma Olomouc

Attack 1.46 +46%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Sparta Praha

Attack 1.35 +35%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Praha: result vs prediction

Sigma Olomouc 0 – 3 Sparta Praha

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Praha markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sparta Praha 40.3% 2.48 -15.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 69.0% 1.45 — —
Both teams to score Yes 69.0% 1.45 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.4% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 71.1% 1.41 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sigma Olomouc35.2%
Draw24.6%
Sparta Praha40.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.569.0%
Under 2.531.0%
Both teams to scoreYes69.0%
No31.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.7%
12 (either side)75.4%
X2 (draw or away)64.8%
Handicap -1Sparta Praha win13.9%
Push (exactly one goal)15.0%
Loss71.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.7%
2-18.9%
2-26.9%

Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Praha stats

Sigma Olomouc and Sparta Praha recent form

newest first
Sigma Olomouc WWLWWW
Sparta Praha WWLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sigma Olomouc and Sparta Praha going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sigma Olomouc record

  • They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sparta Praha record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Praha head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Sigma Olomouc wins 2Draws 6Sparta Praha wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-06Sigma OlomoucSparta PrahaCzech Liga0-1
2025-08-10Sparta PrahaSigma OlomoucCzech Liga1-0
2025-05-24Sparta PrahaSigma OlomoucCzech Liga1-1
2025-05-14Sigma OlomoucSparta PrahaCup3-1
2025-03-01Sigma OlomoucSparta PrahaCzech Liga1-2
2024-09-27Sparta PrahaSigma OlomoucCzech Liga2-3
2024-04-28Sigma OlomoucSparta PrahaCzech Liga1-4
2023-07-23Sparta PrahaSigma OlomoucCzech Liga2-0
2023-05-07Sigma OlomoucSparta PrahaCzech Liga0-1
2023-01-28Sigma OlomoucSparta PrahaCzech Liga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Praha odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.9%, draw 25.0%, away 44.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.06 3.72 2.07
Bet365 3.00 3.50 2.10
BetVictor 3.13 3.70 2.10
Betano 3.00 3.45 2.20
Betfair 3.00 3.70 2.10
Marathonbet 3.02 3.70 2.06
Pinnacle 3.10 3.94 2.11
SBO 2.82 3.18 2.16
William Hill 3.00 3.40 2.15

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.00 ▲ +0.20
X 3.70 ▲ +0.20
2 2.10 ▼ -0.13

9 snapshots recorded, from .