Plzen
vs
Sigma Olomouc
2 – 3 Full time
| 6′ | Fabijan KrivakDavid Tkáč | ||
| 16′ | Ahmad Ghali Abubakar | ||
| 28′ | Leonardo Borges | ||
| 34′ | Abdoulaye Sylla | ||
| 38′ | Marko Soldo | ||
| 41′ | David Tkáč | ||
| 45′ | Leonardo BorgesMatej Hadas | ||
| 52′ | Vaclav Sejk | ||
| 59′ | Ahmad Ghali Abubakar | ||
| 63′ | Tomáš LadraChristopher Kabongo | ||
| 63′ | Salim Fago LawalBaboucarr Faal | ||
| 63′ | Adam GabrielPrince Kwabena Adu | ||
| 64′ | Marko SoldoHilmir Rafn Mikaelsson | ||
| 70′ | Lukáš ČervJiří Maxim Panoš | ||
| 72′ | Patrik HrošovskýStefan Pirgic | ||
| 76′ | Michal Beran | ||
| 79′ | David TkáčJáchym Šíp | ||
| 85′ | Baboucarr Faal |
Match stats
| 21 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 70 | Possession % | 30 |
| 12 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Offsides | 3 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 408 | Accurate passes | 345 |
Plzen vs Sigma Olomouc overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Plzen vs Sigma Olomouc
| Probability | Plzen | Draw | Sigma Olomouc |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.3% | 24.2% | 36.5% |
| Market | 57.8% | 23.7% | 18.5% |
| Final | 53.2% | 23.8% | 23.0% |
| Edge | -18.5% | +0.5% | +18.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Plzen and Sigma Olomouc expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.47
Plzen and Sigma Olomouc attack and defence ratings
Plzen
Sigma Olomouc
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Plzen vs Sigma Olomouc: result vs prediction
Plzen 2 – 3 Sigma Olomouc
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Plzen vs Sigma Olomouc markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Plzen | 53.2% | 1.88 | -18.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Plzen | 53.2% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| Sigma Olomouc | 23.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.8% |
| No | 31.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Plzen win | 21.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.2% | |
| Loss | 60.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.3% | |
| 1-2 | 8.0% |
Plzen vs Sigma Olomouc stats
Plzen and Sigma Olomouc recent form
| Plzen |
DWDWLW |
| Sigma Olomouc |
WLWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Plzen and Sigma Olomouc going into this match
Plzen record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
Sigma Olomouc record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Plzen vs Sigma Olomouc head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Sigma Olomouc | Plzen | Czech Liga | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-13 | Plzen | Sigma Olomouc | Czech Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-18 | Sigma Olomouc | Plzen | Czech Liga | 1-2 |
| 2025-02-03 | Sigma Olomouc | Plzen | Czech Liga | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-17 | Plzen | Sigma Olomouc | Czech Liga | 2-1 |
| 2023-12-17 | Sigma Olomouc | Plzen | Czech Liga | 1-3 |
| 2023-11-16 | Sigma Olomouc | Plzen | Cup | 1-3 |
| 2023-08-20 | Plzen | Sigma Olomouc | Czech Liga | 2-1 |
| 2023-05-13 | Plzen | Sigma Olomouc | Czech Liga | 1-3 |
| 2023-03-04 | Plzen | Sigma Olomouc | Czech Liga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Plzen vs Sigma Olomouc odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.3%, draw 23.8%, away 18.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.65 | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.60 | 4.00 | 5.04 |
| 888Sport | 1.62 | 3.75 | 4.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 3.90 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.58 | 4.00 | 5.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.63 | 4.13 | 5.12 |
| SBO | 1.56 | 3.55 | 4.44 |
| Unibet | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.70 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.80 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .