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Czech Liga · Full time ·Matchday 8

Zlin vs Hradec Králové

1 – 2 Full time

8′David Machalík
10′Kristers PenkevicsStanislav petruta
45′Tomáš Čvančara
46′Tom Sloncik
63′David Machalík
65′Michal Fukala
66′Mick Van BurenAbdullahi Umar
68′David MachalíkMichal Cupák
68′Jiří ŠtefanTomáš Poznar
68′Miloš KopečnýFrank Appiah
69′Antonin Krapka
71′Tom Sloncik
79′Samuel DancakMatej Valenta
80′Daniel TrubačFilip Mielke
80′Marian PisojaAdam Gazi
89′Tom SloncikAdam Vlkanova

Stadion Letna, ZlinReferee: Karel Roucek, Czechia

Zlin 25%
Draw 28%
Hradec Králové 47%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 5
44 Possession % 56
14 Corners 4
14 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 5
3 Saves 3
144 Accurate passes 507

Zlin vs Hradec Králové overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zlin vs Hradec Králové

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZlinDrawHradec Králové
Model26.3%29.4%44.4%
Market24.6%28.0%47.4%
Final25.0%28.3%46.6%
Edge+1.6%+1.4%-3.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Hradec Králové

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 1.03.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Zlin ↓ / Hradec Králové → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 11% 9% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Zlin and Hradec Králové expected goals

Zlin 1.03
Hradec Králové 1.41

Total expected goals: 2.43

Zlin and Hradec Králové attack and defence ratings

Zlin

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.46 +46%

Hradec Králové

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Zlin vs Hradec Králové: result vs prediction

Zlin 1 – 2 Hradec Králové

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

Zlin vs Hradec Králové markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hradec Králové 46.6% 2.14 -3.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.1% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score No 50.2% 1.99 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 75.0% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.5% 1.80 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Zlin25.0%
Draw28.3%
Hradec Králové46.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.9%
Under 2.556.1%
Both teams to scoreYes49.8%
No50.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)53.4%
12 (either side)71.7%
X2 (draw or away)75.0%
Handicap -1Hradec Králové win22.1%
Push (exactly one goal)22.4%
Loss55.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
0-111.1%
0-010.0%

Zlin vs Hradec Králové stats

Zlin and Hradec Králové recent form

newest first
Zlin LLLLLL
Hradec Králové DWLLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zlin and Hradec Králové going into this match

league record before kick-off

Zlin record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Hradec Králové record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Zlin vs Hradec Králové head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Zlin wins 3Draws 4Hradec Králové wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-21Hradec KrálovéZlinCzech Liga0-0
2025-09-20ZlinHradec KrálovéCzech Liga1-2
2023-12-16ZlinHradec KrálovéCzech Liga4-0
2023-08-20Hradec KrálovéZlinCzech Liga2-0
2023-03-11ZlinHradec KrálovéCzech Liga2-2
2022-09-18Hradec KrálovéZlinCzech Liga0-0
2022-03-12Hradec KrálovéZlinCzech Liga2-1
2021-10-17ZlinHradec KrálovéCzech Liga2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Zlin vs Hradec Králové odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 25.7%, draw 28.0%, away 46.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.35 3.30 2.05
1xBet 3.84 3.32 1.95
888Sport 3.30 3.10 2.10
Bet365 3.50 3.30 2.00
BetVictor 3.60 3.30 1.95
Betano 3.80 3.25 1.95
Betfair 3.70 3.40 1.95
Dafabet 3.60 3.40 2.10
Marathonbet 3.84 3.32 1.93
Pinnacle 4.09 3.27 2.00
SBO 3.32 2.99 1.95
Unibet 3.25 3.25 2.18
William Hill 3.75 3.10 2.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.75 ▲ +0.54
X 3.30 ▲ +0.06
2 1.95 ▼ -0.24

13 snapshots recorded, from .