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Czech Liga · Full time ·Matchday 5

Hradec Králové vs Plzen

0 – 0 Full time

46′C. SouareT. Ladra
46′P. AduC. Kabongo
54′D. HorakD. Ludvicek
59′Christophe Kabongo
59′D. VisinskyA. Sojka
67′S. DancakM. Valenta
67′T. SloncikA. Vlkanova
68′Lukáš Červ
73′Adam Vlkanova
79′T. CvancaraA. Umar
83′L. CervS. Pirgic
83′M. DoskiM. Toure
90′Denis Vavro

Malsovicka arena, Hradec KraloveReferee: Dalibor Cerny, Czechia

Hradec Králové 29%
Draw 27%
Plzen 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
51 Possession % 49
10 Corners 3
9 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 4
2 Saves 3
367 Accurate passes 386

Hradec Králové vs Plzen overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hradec Králové vs Plzen

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHradec KrálovéDrawPlzen
Model28.9%25.9%45.2%
Market29.6%27.3%43.2%
Final29.4%26.9%43.7%
Edge-0.7%-1.4%+2.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Plzen

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 1.33.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Plzen below the model: +2.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hradec Králové ↓ / Plzen → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 12% 9% 2 7% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

Hradec Králové and Plzen expected goals

Hradec Králové 1.33
Plzen 1.69

Total expected goals: 3.02

Hradec Králové and Plzen attack and defence ratings

Hradec Králové

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Plzen

Attack 1.48 +48%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hradec Králové vs Plzen: result vs prediction

Hradec Králové 0 – 0 Plzen

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

Hradec Králové vs Plzen markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Plzen 43.7% 2.29 +2.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.3% 1.72 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.1% 1.64 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.1% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.0% 1.82 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hradec Králové29.4%
Draw26.9%
Plzen43.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.3%
Under 2.541.7%
Both teams to scoreYes61.1%
No38.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.3%
12 (either side)73.1%
X2 (draw or away)70.6%
Handicap -1Plzen win24.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss55.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.0%
1-29.3%
2-17.3%

Hradec Králové vs Plzen stats

Hradec Králové and Plzen recent form

newest first
Hradec Králové WLLLDL
Plzen WDWLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hradec Králové and Plzen going into this match

league record before kick-off

Hradec Králové record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Plzen record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.

Hradec Králové vs Plzen head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Hradec Králové wins 3Draws 6Plzen wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-03PlzenHradec KrálovéCzech Liga3-1
2026-03-08Hradec KrálovéPlzenCzech Liga0-3
2025-10-05PlzenHradec KrálovéCzech Liga3-3
2024-11-23Hradec KrálovéPlzenCzech Liga0-1
2024-07-28PlzenHradec KrálovéCzech Liga1-0
2023-11-25Hradec KrálovéPlzenCzech Liga1-1
2023-07-30PlzenHradec KrálovéCzech Liga1-1
2023-01-28PlzenHradec KrálovéCzech Liga1-2
2022-08-13Hradec KrálovéPlzenCzech Liga1-2
2022-05-11Hradec KrálovéPlzenCzech Liga0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hradec Králové vs Plzen odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.6%, draw 27.3%, away 43.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.05 3.40 2.15
1xBet 3.16 3.42 2.15
888Sport 3.00 3.25 2.20
Bet365 3.00 3.40 2.15
BetVictor 3.13 3.50 2.15
Betano 3.15 3.35 2.15
Betfair 3.00 3.60 2.10
Dafabet 3.25 3.45 2.21
Marathonbet 3.15 3.42 2.13
Pinnacle 3.28 3.47 2.19
SBO 2.88 3.11 2.16
Superbet 3.15 3.35 2.17
Unibet 3.30 3.40 2.12
William Hill 3.00 3.25 2.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.14 ▲ +0.26
X 3.40 —
2 2.15 ▼ -0.15

35 snapshots recorded, from .