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Czech Liga · Full time ·Matchday 5

FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava

3 – 0 Full time

14′Jiri Micek
33′Saidou Alioum Moubarak
41′K. MihelakJ. Hanus
44′F. Novak
50′Matěj Chaluš
51′Martin Jedlička
55′A. Rusek
56′D. HolzerR. Nogha
62′D. GilbertM. Kmet
62′V. JureckaF. Sancl
62′F. KubalaV. Skrkon
70′M. Polidar
72′J. MicekM. Dyachuk
73′S. AlioumH. Ahl
73′D. HollyL. Jawo
81′F. NovakE. Sobol
82′R. SedlacekF. Zorvan

Stadion Střelnice, JablonecReferee: Ales Mach, Czechia

FK Jablonec 45%
Draw 28%
Baník Ostrava 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

23 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 2
58 Possession % 42
9 Corners 5
10 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 1
2 Saves 4
438 Accurate passes 304

FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFK JablonecDrawBaník Ostrava
Model37.4%30.8%31.8%
Market47.1%26.7%26.2%
Final44.7%27.7%27.6%
Edge-9.7%+4.0%+5.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FK Jablonec ↓ / Baník Ostrava → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 9% 1 11% 14% 7% 2 7% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

FK Jablonec and Baník Ostrava expected goals

FK Jablonec 1.22
Baník Ostrava 1.11

Total expected goals: 2.33

FK Jablonec and Baník Ostrava attack and defence ratings

FK Jablonec

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Baník Ostrava

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava: result vs prediction

FK Jablonec 3 – 0 Baník Ostrava

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FK Jablonec 44.7% 2.24 -9.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.9% 1.70 — —
Both teams to score No 51.5% 1.94 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.4% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.6% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FK Jablonec44.7%
Draw27.7%
Baník Ostrava27.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.1%
Under 2.558.9%
Both teams to scoreYes48.5%
No51.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.4%
12 (either side)72.3%
X2 (draw or away)55.3%
Handicap -1FK Jablonec win16.8%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss62.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.5%
0-011.1%
1-010.6%

FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava stats

FK Jablonec and Baník Ostrava recent form

newest first
FK Jablonec LDLWLW
Baník Ostrava LWWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FK Jablonec and Baník Ostrava going into this match

league record before kick-off

FK Jablonec record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Baník Ostrava record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.

FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6FK Jablonec wins 1Draws 3Baník Ostrava wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-11FK JablonecBaník OstravaCzech Liga4-1
2025-11-08Baník OstravaFK JablonecCzech Liga0-1
2025-04-27Baník OstravaFK JablonecCzech Liga1-2
2025-04-09FK JablonecBaník OstravaCup0-1
2024-11-23FK JablonecBaník OstravaCzech Liga3-1
2024-07-28Baník OstravaFK JablonecCzech Liga1-0
2024-04-07FK JablonecBaník OstravaCzech Liga2-3
2023-10-28Baník OstravaFK JablonecCzech Liga0-1
2023-05-14FK JablonecBaník OstravaCzech Liga1-1
2023-02-11Baník OstravaFK JablonecCzech Liga1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.1%, draw 26.7%, away 26.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.93 3.40 3.55
1xBet 1.94 3.54 3.62
888Sport 2.00 3.30 3.50
Bet365 1.91 3.50 3.60
BetVictor 1.93 3.50 3.50
Betano 1.95 3.40 3.65
Betfair 1.95 3.60 3.50
Dafabet 2.02 3.55 3.65
Marathonbet 1.90 3.56 3.68
Pinnacle 1.99 3.58 3.73
SBO 2.01 3.04 3.09
Superbet 2.00 3.45 3.55
Unibet 2.04 3.40 3.20
William Hill 2.00 3.30 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.97 ▼ -0.24
X 3.48 ▲ +0.08
2 3.55 ▲ +0.57

34 snapshots recorded, from .