Zlin
vs
Slovan Liberec
0 – 1 Full time
Zlin vs Slovan Liberec overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zlin vs Slovan Liberec
| Probability | Zlin | Draw | Slovan Liberec |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.7% | 29.3% | 43.1% |
| Market | 23.9% | 27.3% | 48.8% |
| Final | 24.9% | 27.8% | 47.4% |
| Edge | +3.7% | +2.0% | -5.7% |
Why Slovan Liberec
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.40 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zlin and Slovan Liberec expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.48
Zlin and Slovan Liberec attack and defence ratings
Zlin
Slovan Liberec
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Zlin vs Slovan Liberec: result vs prediction
Zlin 0 – 1 Slovan Liberec
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zlin vs Slovan Liberec markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slovan Liberec | 47.4% | 2.11 | -5.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zlin | 24.9% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Slovan Liberec | 47.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.9% |
| No | 49.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Slovan Liberec win | 21.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 56.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 0-1 | 10.5% | |
| 0-0 | 9.7% |
Zlin vs Slovan Liberec stats
Zlin and Slovan Liberec recent form
| Zlin |
LLLLWL |
| Slovan Liberec |
DWLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zlin and Slovan Liberec going into this match
Zlin record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Slovan Liberec record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Zlin vs Slovan Liberec head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | Slovan Liberec | Zlin | Czech Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Zlin | Slovan Liberec | Czech Liga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zlin vs Slovan Liberec odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 23.9%, draw 27.3%, away 48.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.95 | 3.30 | 1.87 |
| 1xBet | 4.00 | 3.46 | 1.87 |
| 888Sport | 3.75 | 3.25 | 1.95 |
| Bet365 | 3.70 | 3.50 | 1.85 |
| BetVictor | 3.80 | 3.40 | 1.85 |
| Betano | 3.85 | 3.35 | 1.91 |
| Betfair | 3.90 | 3.50 | 1.90 |
| Dafabet | 3.95 | 3.50 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 4.00 | 3.46 | 1.85 |
| Pinnacle | 4.15 | 3.52 | 1.90 |
| SBO | 3.34 | 3.06 | 1.91 |
| Superbet | 3.85 | 3.40 | 1.92 |
| Unibet | 3.75 | 3.25 | 1.90 |
| William Hill | 3.90 | 3.25 | 1.85 |