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Czech Liga · Full time ·Matchday 5

Artis vs Sparta Praha

0 – 4 Full time

Stadion SK Lisen, BrnoReferee: Ondrej Berka, Czechia

Artis 16%
Draw 21%
Sparta Praha 63%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Artis vs Sparta Praha overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Artis vs Sparta Praha

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityArtisDrawSparta Praha
Model26.2%24.0%49.8%
Market12.3%19.8%67.9%
Final15.8%20.8%63.4%
Edge+13.9%+4.2%-18.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Sparta Praha

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.37.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Artis ↓ / Sparta Praha → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 7% 1 11% 9% 6% 2 7% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Artis and Sparta Praha expected goals

Artis 1.37
Sparta Praha 1.86

Total expected goals: 3.23

Artis and Sparta Praha attack and defence ratings

Artis

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.31 +31%

Sparta Praha

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Artis vs Sparta Praha: result vs prediction

Artis 0 – 4 Sparta Praha

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

Artis vs Sparta Praha markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sparta Praha 63.4% 1.58 -18.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.4% 1.55 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.0% 1.54 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 84.2% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.9% 1.93 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Artis15.8%
Draw20.8%
Sparta Praha63.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.4%
Under 2.535.6%
Both teams to scoreYes65.0%
No35.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)36.6%
12 (either side)79.2%
X2 (draw or away)84.2%
Handicap -1Sparta Praha win27.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss51.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.6%
1-29.4%
0-26.8%

Artis vs Sparta Praha stats

Artis and Sparta Praha recent form

newest first
Artis LLDLLL
Sparta Praha WLLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Artis and Sparta Praha going into this match

league record before kick-off

Artis record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Sparta Praha record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Artis vs Sparta Praha head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Artis vs Sparta Praha odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 12.3%, draw 19.8%, away 67.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 7.80 4.40 1.36
1xBet 7.50 4.90 1.36
888Sport 7.50 4.60 1.36
Bet365 7.50 4.50 1.36
BetVictor 7.50 4.75 1.33
Betano 6.90 4.50 1.40
Betfair 9.50 5.00 1.30
Dafabet 7.60 5.00 1.40
Marathonbet 7.50 4.90 1.35
Pinnacle 7.61 5.12 1.38
SBO 6.38 4.21 1.34
Superbet 6.90 4.80 1.38
Unibet 7.50 4.60 1.35
William Hill 7.00 4.60 1.36

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.