Mlada Boleslav
vs
Slovácko
2 – 1 Full time
Mlada Boleslav vs Slovácko overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mlada Boleslav vs Slovácko
| Probability | Mlada Boleslav | Draw | Slovácko |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.2% | 22.7% | 16.1% |
| Market | 50.0% | 26.4% | 23.7% |
| Final | 52.8% | 25.4% | 21.8% |
| Edge | +11.2% | -3.6% | -7.5% |
Why Mlada Boleslav
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Mlada Boleslav below the model: +11.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mlada Boleslav and Slovácko expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.99
Mlada Boleslav and Slovácko attack and defence ratings
Mlada Boleslav
Slovácko
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mlada Boleslav vs Slovácko: result vs prediction
Mlada Boleslav 2 – 1 Slovácko
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mlada Boleslav vs Slovácko markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mlada Boleslav | 52.8% | 1.89 | +11.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mlada Boleslav | 52.8% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Slovácko | 21.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.7% |
| No | 45.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mlada Boleslav win | 38.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 38.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 2-0 | 10.3% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
Mlada Boleslav vs Slovácko stats
Mlada Boleslav and Slovácko recent form
| Mlada Boleslav |
DWDWLW |
| Slovácko |
LLDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mlada Boleslav and Slovácko going into this match
Mlada Boleslav record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
Slovácko record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mlada Boleslav vs Slovácko head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Slovácko | Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga | 0-3 |
| 2026-03-07 | Slovácko | Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga | 2-2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Mlada Boleslav | Slovácko | Czech Liga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mlada Boleslav vs Slovácko odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.0%, draw 26.4%, away 23.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.83 | 3.45 | 3.90 |
| 1xBet | 1.87 | 3.44 | 4.04 |
| 888Sport | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.89 | 3.65 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.85 | 3.44 | 4.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 3.43 | 4.68 |
| SBO | 1.84 | 3.26 | 3.35 |
| Superbet | 1.87 | 3.55 | 3.90 |
| Unibet | 1.76 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.80 |