Plzen
vs
Slovácko
1 – 1 Full time
Plzen vs Slovácko overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Plzen vs Slovácko
| Probability | Plzen | Draw | Slovácko |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.5% | 22.7% | 25.7% |
| Market | 71.1% | 18.3% | 10.6% |
| Final | 66.2% | 19.4% | 14.4% |
| Edge | -19.6% | +4.4% | +15.2% |
Why Plzen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.49 vs 1.42.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Plzen and Slovácko expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.91
Plzen and Slovácko attack and defence ratings
Plzen
Slovácko
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Plzen vs Slovácko: result vs prediction
Plzen 1 – 1 Slovácko
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Plzen vs Slovácko markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Plzen | 66.2% | 1.51 | -19.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Plzen win | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Plzen | 66.2% |
| Draw | 19.4% | |
| Slovácko | 14.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.3% |
| No | 31.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 33.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Plzen win | 40.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 39.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 2-2 | 6.7% |
Plzen vs Slovácko stats
Plzen and Slovácko recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Plzen and Slovácko going into this match
Plzen record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
Slovácko record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Plzen vs Slovácko head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | Slovácko | Plzen | Czech Liga | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Plzen | Slovácko | Czech Liga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Plzen vs Slovácko odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 71.1%, draw 18.3%, away 10.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.29 | 4.80 | 9.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.28 | 5.40 | 9.35 |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 5.00 | 8.50 |
| Betano | 1.31 | 5.00 | 8.50 |
| Betfair | 1.29 | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.34 | 5.40 | 8.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.27 | 5.40 | 9.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.29 | 5.53 | 8.68 |
| SBO | 1.29 | 4.67 | 6.57 |
| Unibet | 1.27 | 5.20 | 8.50 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 5.00 | 9.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .