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Czech Liga · Full time ·Matchday 6

Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc

1 – 0 Full time

Městský stadion (Ostrava-Vítkovice), OstravaReferee: Marek Radina, Czechia

Baník Ostrava 39%
Draw 27%
Sigma Olomouc 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBaník OstravaDrawSigma Olomouc
Model36.1%25.8%38.0%
Market39.6%27.5%32.8%
Final38.7%27.1%34.1%
Edge-3.5%-1.7%+5.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Baník Ostrava ↓ / Sigma Olomouc → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 12% 9% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Baník Ostrava and Sigma Olomouc expected goals

Baník Ostrava 1.54
Sigma Olomouc 1.59

Total expected goals: 3.13

Baník Ostrava and Sigma Olomouc attack and defence ratings

Baník Ostrava

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Sigma Olomouc

Attack 1.42 +42%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc: result vs prediction

Baník Ostrava 1 – 0 Sigma Olomouc

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Baník Ostrava 38.7% 2.58 -3.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.6% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.7% 1.57 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.9% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.9% 1.56 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Baník Ostrava38.7%
Draw27.1%
Sigma Olomouc34.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.6%
Under 2.539.4%
Both teams to scoreYes63.7%
No36.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.9%
12 (either side)72.9%
X2 (draw or away)61.3%
Handicap -1Baník Ostrava win18.0%
Push (exactly one goal)18.1%
Loss63.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.8%
1-28.5%
2-18.3%

Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc stats

Baník Ostrava and Sigma Olomouc recent form

newest first
Baník Ostrava WLLWWW
Sigma Olomouc WWWDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Baník Ostrava and Sigma Olomouc going into this match

league record before kick-off

Baník Ostrava record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.

Sigma Olomouc record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Baník Ostrava wins 2Draws 4Sigma Olomouc wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-07Baník OstravaSigma OlomoucCzech Liga2-0
2025-08-31Sigma OlomoucBaník OstravaCzech Liga1-0
2025-05-03Baník OstravaSigma OlomoucCzech Liga0-0
2025-04-22Baník OstravaSigma OlomoucCup2-3
2025-02-09Baník OstravaSigma OlomoucCzech Liga1-0
2024-09-01Sigma OlomoucBaník OstravaCzech Liga2-2
2024-03-09Baník OstravaSigma OlomoucCzech Liga1-2
2023-09-30Sigma OlomoucBaník OstravaCzech Liga0-3
2023-04-30Sigma OlomoucBaník OstravaCzech Liga1-4
2022-07-30Baník OstravaSigma OlomoucCzech Liga0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.6%, draw 27.5%, away 32.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.28 3.35 2.84
1xBet 2.35 3.46 2.79
Bet365 2.40 3.30 2.62
BetVictor 2.30 3.40 2.75
Betano 2.35 3.30 2.82
Betfair 2.30 3.50 2.88
Dafabet 2.43 3.40 2.90
Marathonbet 2.33 3.46 2.77
Pinnacle 2.39 3.50 2.81
SBO 2.28 3.05 2.60
Superbet 2.40 3.30 2.85
Unibet 2.30 3.35 2.95
William Hill 2.30 3.30 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.33 ▲ +0.02
X 3.35 ▼ -0.13
2 2.81 ▲ +0.02

12 snapshots recorded, from .