Bohemians 1905
vs
Mlada Boleslav
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bohemians 1905
2 – 1 Predicted score · 6% model probability
Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav
| Probability | Bohemians 1905 | Draw | Mlada Boleslav |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.0% | 27.6% | 47.3% |
| Market | 41.7% | 25.9% | 32.5% |
| Final | 37.5% | 26.3% | 36.2% |
| Edge | -16.6% | +1.8% | +14.8% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.37, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav match preview
Bohemians 1905 and Mlada Boleslav are set to face off in the Czech Liga, with kickoff scheduled for October 14, 2026. According to our model, Bohemians 1905 has a 37% probability of winning, while Mlada Boleslav stands at 36%, and a draw is estimated at 26%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Bohemians 1905, occurring with a 6% likelihood. The expected goals for Bohemians 1905 is 1.08, compared to Mlada Boleslav's 1.56.
In terms of recent form, Bohemians 1905 has recorded one win in their last six matches, with a record of L-W-L-D-D-W. Mlada Boleslav, on the other hand, has shown stronger performance, winning four of their last six games (W-L-W-W-D-W). The head-to-head record over the last ten encounters favors Bohemians 1905 slightly, with three wins, five draws, and two wins for Mlada Boleslav.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bohemians 1905 and Mlada Boleslav expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.65
Bohemians 1905 and Mlada Boleslav attack and defence ratings
Bohemians 1905
Mlada Boleslav
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bohemians 1905 | 37.5% | 2.67 | -16.6% | 2.37 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bohemians 1905 | 37.5% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Mlada Boleslav | 36.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% |
| No | 46.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bohemians 1905 win | 9.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.0% | |
| Loss | 75.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 0-1 | 9.9% | |
| 1-2 | 9.4% |
Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav stats
Bohemians 1905 and Mlada Boleslav recent form
| Bohemians 1905 |
LWLDDW |
| Mlada Boleslav |
WLWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bohemians 1905 and Mlada Boleslav season so far
Bohemians 1905 record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 54% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mlada Boleslav record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Mlada Boleslav | Bohemians 1905 | Czech Liga | 2-2 |
| 2025-11-05 | Bohemians 1905 | Mlada Boleslav | Cup | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Bohemians 1905 | Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-15 | Mlada Boleslav | Bohemians 1905 | Czech Liga | 1-2 |
| 2025-02-26 | Mlada Boleslav | Bohemians 1905 | Cup | 0-2 |
| 2024-10-20 | Bohemians 1905 | Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga | 2-2 |
| 2024-03-09 | Bohemians 1905 | Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga | 0-0 |
| 2023-10-01 | Mlada Boleslav | Bohemians 1905 | Czech Liga | 2-1 |
| 2023-04-16 | Bohemians 1905 | Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga | 4-0 |
| 2022-10-23 | Mlada Boleslav | Bohemians 1905 | Czech Liga | 4-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.4%, draw 27.5%, away 32.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.28 | 3.35 | 2.86 |
| 1xBet | 2.21 | 3.58 | 2.87 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.35 | 3.30 | 2.87 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.28 | 3.65 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.19 | 3.58 | 2.85 |
| Pinnacle | 2.37 | 3.49 | 2.84 |
| SBO | 2.25 | 3.06 | 2.64 |
| Superbet | 2.32 | 3.35 | 2.90 |
| Unibet | 2.32 | 3.30 | 2.95 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.25 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .