Czech Liga · Full time ·Matchday 6

Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav

1 – 0 Full time

11′Jan Zíka
13′Aleš Čermák
27′Aleš Majer
38′Vojtech Smrz
45′Solomon JohnJosef Kolarik
47′Ladislav Krobot
56′Ladislav KrobotVáclav Pilař
56′Roman KvetŠimon Černý
56′Filip SpatenkaDavid Kozel
60′Tomas Fruhwald
60′Jiří Klíma
71′Martin Šubert
73′Daniel LanghamerMarek Havran
82′Ladislav AlmásiDenis Vala
82′Vojtech SmrzSamuel Obinaya
82′Ondrej KarafiatJan Buryan
86′Samuel Obinaya
90′Aleš Čermák
90′Aleš ČermákDavid Heidenreich
90′David Lischka

Dolicek, PragueReferee: K. Roucek

Bohemians 1905 42%
Draw 27%
Mlada Boleslav 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 5
37 Possession % 63
1 Corners 3
18 Fouls 7
5 Saves 1
268 Accurate passes 507

Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBohemians 1905DrawMlada Boleslav
Model35.4%29.0%35.6%
Market44.0%26.2%29.8%
Final41.8%26.9%31.2%
Edge-2.1%+0.7%+1.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bohemians 1905 ↓ / Mlada Boleslav → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 8% 1 8% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Bohemians 1905 and Mlada Boleslav expected goals

Bohemians 1905 1.29
Mlada Boleslav 1.29

Total expected goals: 2.59

Bohemians 1905 and Mlada Boleslav attack and defence ratings

Bohemians 1905

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Mlada Boleslav

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav: result vs prediction

Bohemians 1905 1 – 0 Mlada Boleslav

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Czech Liga

Before and after this match

Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bohemians 1905 41.8% 2.39 -2.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.2% 1.91 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.9% 1.86 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.1% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.6% 1.55 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bohemians 190541.8%
Draw26.9%
Mlada Boleslav31.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.8%
Under 2.552.2%
Both teams to scoreYes53.9%
No46.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.8%
12 (either side)73.1%
X2 (draw or away)58.2%
Handicap -1Bohemians 1905 win16.2%
Push (exactly one goal)19.2%
Loss64.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
0-08.8%
0-18.5%

Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav stats

Bohemians 1905 and Mlada Boleslav recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bohemians 1905 and Mlada Boleslav going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bohemians 1905 record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • 54% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Mlada Boleslav record

  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.

Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Bohemians 1905 wins 5Draws 2Mlada Boleslav wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-31Mlada BoleslavBohemians 1905Czech Liga2-2
2025-11-05Bohemians 1905Mlada BoleslavCup0-0
2025-10-22Bohemians 1905Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga1-1
2025-03-15Mlada BoleslavBohemians 1905Czech Liga1-2
2025-02-26Mlada BoleslavBohemians 1905Cup0-2
2024-10-20Bohemians 1905Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga2-2
2024-03-09Bohemians 1905Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga0-0
2023-10-01Mlada BoleslavBohemians 1905Czech Liga2-1
2023-04-16Bohemians 1905Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga4-0
2022-10-23Mlada BoleslavBohemians 1905Czech Liga4-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.0%, draw 26.8%, away 30.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.28 3.35 2.86
1xBet 2.09 3.54 3.14
Bet365 2.10 3.50 3.00
BetVictor 2.10 3.40 3.10
Betano 2.18 3.45 3.05
Betfair 2.10 3.60 3.00
Dafabet 2.22 3.55 3.15
Marathonbet 2.07 3.54 3.12
Pinnacle 2.15 3.58 3.29
SBO 2.08 3.04 2.77
Superbet 2.32 3.35 2.90
Unibet 2.32 3.30 2.95
William Hill 2.15 3.30 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.10 ▼ -0.14
X 3.52 ▲ +0.11
2 3.10 ▲ +0.10

23 snapshots recorded, from .